Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS51 KCTP 181456
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
956 AM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...

A cold, soaking rain will occur today as a storm moves up the
Ohio River valley and a warm front attempts to lift slowly north
across Pennsylvania. A strong cold front will push east through
the district during the middle of the night tonight.

Briefly heavier rain, and even a few thunderstorms are possible
along and ahead of the cold front. Wind gusts for about 6 to 10
hours in the wake of the frontal passage may be up to
50 MPH. The front will usher in the coldest air of the season
so far, and lead to lake effect snow for Sunday into Monday
across the western mountains of the state.

PAZ004>006-010-011-182130-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
956 AM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                 100          100           60
Temp (24h trend)             49 (+10)      31 (+2)           36
RH % (24h trend)              54 (+4)      100 (0)           59
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         S  7 G18                 NW 19 G38
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         S  8 G19     S 11 G21     W 17 G36
Precip Amount                    0.76         0.52         0.08
Precip Duration                    11           11           11
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            840           90         5050
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 13        SW 16        NW 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               11780            0       178900
Dispersion                          4            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                     DRY LIGHTNINGDRY LIGHTNING     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Snow showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the mid 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-182130-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
956 AM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain        Tstms      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                 100          100           50
Temp (24h trend)              46 (+4)      33 (+6)           38
RH % (24h trend)             54 (+12)      100 (0)           54
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                  W 20 G39
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  6     S  8 G18     W 18 G36
Precip Amount                    0.85         0.45         0.05
Precip Duration                    11           12            5
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            910          290         5520
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 12         S 13        NW 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               11150            0       187100
Dispersion                          4            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                     DRY LIGHTNINGDRY LIGHTNING     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Scattered snow showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 20s.
Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the upper 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs around 40.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-182130-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
956 AM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                 100          100           60
Temp (24h trend)             52 (+10)       32 (0)           36
RH % (24h trend)              46 (+4)      100 (0)           54
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        SW  7 G17                  W 22 G44
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         S  8 G18     S 12 G22     W 19 G38
Precip Amount                    0.69         0.40         0.10
Precip Duration                    11           12            8
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            800          230         4260
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 14         S 14         W 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               12820          480       150540
Dispersion                          4            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Scattered snow showers. Lows in
the lower 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the upper
20s. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper
30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the mid 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower
40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-182130-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
956 AM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                 100          100           20
Temp (24h trend)               46 (0)      36 (+8)           42
RH % (24h trend)             50 (+11)      100 (0)           47
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                  W 21 G43
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  5     S  9 G21     W 18 G37
Precip Amount                    0.63         0.22         0.02
Precip Duration                    10           11            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           1040          260         5680
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 10         S 12        NW 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               23080            0       183770
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                     DRY LIGHTNINGDRY LIGHTNING     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
around 40. West winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs around 50.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the upper 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-182130-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
956 AM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                Sleet/rain      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                 100          100           40
Temp (24h trend)              42 (+1)      34 (+6)           39
RH % (24h trend)             56 (+15)      96 (-4)           48
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         S  6 G18                  W 20 G39
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         S  7 G19     S 11 G22     W 19 G37
Precip Amount                    0.42         0.43         0.05
Precip Duration                    10           12            5
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            960          370         4990
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 17         S 18         W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               24550            0       148340
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers.
Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 15 to
25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
40s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper
30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the mid 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs around 40.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-182130-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
956 AM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain        Tstms      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                 100          100           20
Temp (24h trend)              45 (-2)     37 (+10)           45
RH % (24h trend)             59 (+21)      93 (-7)           46
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                  W 17 G38
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             S  5     S  8 G22     W 17 G36
Precip Amount                    0.61         0.43         0.03
Precip Duration                     9           11            2
Precip Begin                     7 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           1300          340         5440
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 15        SW 17        NW 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               26870            0       173550
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       1-8 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
around 40. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs around 50.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-182130-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
956 AM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                     MCldy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain        Tstms         None
Chance Precip (%)                 100           90            0
Temp (24h trend)               49 (0)     40 (+12)           47
RH % (24h trend)             59 (+20)      100 (0)           45
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                  W 21 G41
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         S  5 G18     S 11 G26     W 19 G38
Precip Amount                    0.42         0.31         0.00
Precip Duration                     9           11
Precip Begin                     8 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           1380          350         5650
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 15         S 17        NW 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               29040          600       184600
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKESDRY LIGHTNING     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            2            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the lower 40s. West winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the lower 50s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ058-182130-
Schuylkill-
Including the city of Pottsville
956 AM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                     MCldy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  90          100           20
Temp (24h trend)              45 (-1)     39 (+13)           46
RH % (24h trend)             63 (+25)      100 (0)           47
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                  W 18 G39
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         S  5 G17     S  8 G22     W 18 G38
Precip Amount                    0.46         0.54         0.06
Precip Duration                     8           12            2
Precip Begin                     8 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           1180          440         5540
Transport Wnd (mph)              S 14        SW 17        NW 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               23440         2680       161040
Dispersion                          5            2            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                       1-8 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            2            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs around 40.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$



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