Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 230746
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
346 AM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...Cold and very dry airmass in place today will be
replaced by a mild and moist airmass tonight and Friday. A warm front
will lift through southern lower Michigan triggering widespread
showers tonight. Temperatures are forecasted to climb into the 60s on
Friday, before turning slightly cooler, but remaining moist and
unsettled into the weekend.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-231915-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesse-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
346 AM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Clear (10-20 percent) until 8 am then partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent) until 4 pm then mostly
                    cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........28-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2820-3320 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (580).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). A slight chance
                    of rain after 9 pm until 10 pm then chance of
                    rain until 1 am then rain likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....33-38.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......260-460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain likely
                    until 8 am then chance of rain. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........66-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......38 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......230-730 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (260).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-231915-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
346 AM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until noon then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....37-42.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light and variable winds becoming south around
                    15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3020-3520 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (590).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). A slight chance
                    of rain after 9 pm until 10 pm then chance of
                    rain until 1 am then rain likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....30-35.
   24 hr trend......22 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......460-660 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain likely
                    until 8 am then chance of rain. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........66-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......47 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1090-1590 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (530).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-231915-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
346 AM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 10 am then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light and variable winds becoming southeast 5
                    to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2460-2960 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (480).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of rain after 9 pm until 10 pm then chance of
                    rain until midnight then rain likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....32-37.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......220-420 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain likely
                    until 8 am. A slight chance of after 8 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......23 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........61-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1160-1660 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph increasing to around 30
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (730).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. East
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s.

$$

DRC



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