Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 202012
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
412 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...DAMP AND COOL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY...KEEPING RH VALUES ELEVATED. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO
BUILD INTO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT...MAINTAINING CONTROL OF OUR
WEATHER RIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. PRECIPITATION-FREE
WEATHER WILL PREVAIL...ALONG WITH SLOWLY MODERATING CONDITIONS.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-211415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
412 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (260).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2570-3070 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (810).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO
                    15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3460-3960 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (470).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-211415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
412 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2120-2320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (150).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 1 PM...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2220-2720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (850).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3480-3980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (540).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-211415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
412 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2130-2330 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (80).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3090-3590 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 30
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (740).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......820-1020 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4240-4740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (670).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S.

$$

MSB





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