Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 011954
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
351 PM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES HAVE RETURNED TO NEAR NORMAL FOR EARLY AUGUST...LOW
80S...AND WILL HOLD HERE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS
WELL...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. WEAK
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE WILL YIELD LIGHT WINDS AND LIMIT
OVERALL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-021400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
351 PM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 10 PM. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 11 PM. ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER 10 PM
                    UNTIL MIDNIGHT. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH UP TO 5 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1 PM UNTIL
                    2 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11050-11550 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (870).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10670-11170 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 0 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (940).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-021400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
351 PM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 10 PM. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 11 PM. ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER 10 PM
                    UNTIL MIDNIGHT. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST UP TO 5 MPH THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1 PM UNTIL
                    2 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11400-11900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (920).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8490-8990 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 0 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (740).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-021400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
351 PM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER 2 AM. POP...30
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST UP TO 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 0 TO 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11530-12030 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1000).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8930-9430 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 0 MPH...BECOMING WEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (500).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

DRK






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