Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 191952
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
350 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

...WARM AND DRY SUNDAY...SHOWERS MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
POSSIBLY MONDAY AS WELL BEFORE A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AROUND OR ABOVE 70 DEGREES INLAND
FROM LAKE MICHIGAN AND MIN RH VALUES AROUND 25 PCT WITH EXISTING PRE
GREEN UP CONDITIONS. COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S
FOLLOWING FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT OVER NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN MAY PRODUCE A
FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS FROM LUDINGTON TO CLARE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
NIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AREAWIDE WILL COME ON MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. HEAVY RAIN IS
NOT EXPECTED.


MIZ037>039-043>045-200815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
350 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1700-2200 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2800-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    500-1000 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 66-71 INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 8 DEGREES
                    WARMER INLAND.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 33-38
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 9
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3200-3700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.17 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 78-83
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 7
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2500-3000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.24 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 47-52
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 14
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2300-2800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.21 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-200815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
350 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400-1900 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.15 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-200815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
350 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3700-4200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 75-80
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 4
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3100-3600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6100-6600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.17 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-200815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
350 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.13 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-200815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
350 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-400 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
12 TO 17 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 60.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 60.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.

$$

MEADE








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