Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 011948
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
348 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

...TYPICAL SPRING WEATHER NEXT FEW DAYS...

.DISCUSSION...
PERIODIC CHANCES FOR RAIN WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED EARLY THIS WEEK. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE MIDDLE 30S TO
LOWER 40S WITH HIGHS AROUND 60. IT WILL TURN COOLER INTO THE
MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WEEK. AS FOR CHANCES FOR RAIN...A GOOD
CHANCE EXISTS TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. THE RAIN
SHOULD END BY DAY BREAK. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL COME TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY ALONG A COLD FRONT THAT WILL SWEEP THROUGH.

MIZ037>039-043>045-020830-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
348 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 300 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    8100-8600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...200-700 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...6800-7300 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    2200-2700 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    8900-9400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-020830-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
348 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000-10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1200 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-020830-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
348 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.42 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7100-7600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1500-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...5200-5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    1500-2000 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    8000-8500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-020830-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
348 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-600 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.24 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000-9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-020830-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
348 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-400 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400-1900 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300-8800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...
THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS
8 TO 13 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 8 TO
13 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.



$$


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