Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 280816
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
416 AM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

...Unsettled Pattern...

.DISCUSSION...Periodic showers and thunderstorms are expected
today through Friday as an active frontal boundary and warmer
and more humid air impacts the area.


MIZ037>039-043>045-282030-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
416 AM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 1400, then
                    cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    after 1100 until 1400, then rain showers
                    likely. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1700.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........59-64 percent near Lake Michigan and 51-56
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 8
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around
                    26 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3100-3600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.55 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely until
                    0200. chance of thunderstorms. chance of
                    showers after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.54 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1600, then
                    partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........69-74 percent near Lake Michigan and 58-63
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 9
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3300-3800 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-282030-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
416 AM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1300, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400 until 1600, then rain
                    showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.30 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.33 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-282030-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
416 AM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 1400, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    after 1200.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around
                    27 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3200-3700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.26 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.26 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4200-4700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.29 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-282030-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
416 AM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1300, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1300.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.13 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.19 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-282030-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
416 AM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1400, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1300.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.11 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.55 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
upper 70s. South winds 7 to 12 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the evening. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers until midday, then a
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the
upper 70s. West winds 8 to 13 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds 7 to
12 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s.

$$



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