Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
000
FNUS53 KGRR 292018
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
418 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...Heavy Rain Expected through Early Monday...

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms continue to develop over the Midwest this
afternoon and will begin streaming northward into the Great Lakes
Region tonight. Heavy rain is possible late tonight into early Sunday
morning. Another round of potentially heavy rain will move through
Sunday night into Monday. Rain could be accompanied by gusty winds.
Rainfall totals could exceed 2 inches through a good portion of Lower
Michigan by Monday morning.



MIZ037>039-043>045-300830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
418 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers. chance
                    of thunderstorms after 0500.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.56-1.00 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    until midday.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 25 mph decreasing to around 15
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.73-1.31 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.89-1.28 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1400, then rain showers likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1100-1600 ft AGL increasing
                    to 3100-3600 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Mixing height....... inland, 3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) increasing to 1600 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.18 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-300830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
418 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 2100, then rain showers. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 0500.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL decreasing to 1000-1500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.75-0.94 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......38 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    until midday.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.86-1.08 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.88-1.16 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms until 1400, then rain showers
                    likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) increasing to 1700 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........around 0.11 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-300830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
418 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2300. rain showers. chance
                    of thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to around 27
                    mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-900 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.70-1.03 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Thunderstorms likely
                    until 1400. rain showers. chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.85-1.34 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Thunderstorms likely
                    until 2300. rain showers. chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2300.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.63-1.15 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND
                    5600-6100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1600-2000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.15 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-300830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
418 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers. chance
                    of thunderstorms after 2100.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around 28
                    mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.51-1.00 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........71-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    until midday.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.71-1.30 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers with
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.69-1.23 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1400. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to
                    around 29 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....2200-2500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.16 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-300830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
418 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2300. rain showers. chance
                    of thunderstorms after 2300.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 26
                    mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.37-0.86 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Thunderstorms likely
                    until 1400. rain showers. chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming north around 5
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.38-1.10 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Thunderstorms likely
                    until 2300. rain showers. chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2300.
Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.59-0.83 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1700. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 31 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6700-7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2600-3000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs around 50. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Areas of frost overnight. Lows in
the mid 30s. Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. North winds 5 to
9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.



$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.