Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 020743
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
343 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...WARMER AND MORE HUMID WITH THUNDERSTORMS...

.DISCUSSION...DEW POINTS WILL BE ON THEIR WAY UP TODAY AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NW. WINDS WILL BE QUITE GUSTY TODAY WITH
30-35 MPH GUSTS POSSIBLE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. THUNDERSTORMS LOOK
LIKELY ESPECIALLY FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. SEVERE
WEATHER IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE.




MIZ037>039-043>045-022015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
343 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6100-6600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2100-2400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22-0.81 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2500-3000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.78 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 41-46
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 7
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6700-7200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-022015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
343 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500-8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2100-2400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.57 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.23-0.67 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100-8600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-022015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
343 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5100-5600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2000 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.39 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...2200-2700 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3100-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.39-0.95 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6200-6700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1700 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-022015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
343 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700-8200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1800 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2600 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.29 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.56-0.94 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100-8600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-022015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
343 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800-7300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 35
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2200 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.12 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 8 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AROUND
                    10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.46-0.94 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100-7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
7 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.



$$



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