Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 240826
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
326 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MILD AND UNSETTLED WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AS A STORM
SYSTEM RISES OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
THE COAST AND STALL OFFSHORE ON TUESDAY. COOL AND WET CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AS A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES
NORTH ALONG THE STALLED FRONT AND SKIRTS THE COAST. SKIES WILL
BEGIN A CLEARING TREND ON THANKSGIVING...WITH TEMPERATURES RUNNING
SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-250030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
326 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           30           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   2            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          76           58           65
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 11         S  9         W  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 11         SW  7        NW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            3
INVERSION             70/1000      1900         64/1200
MIN/MAX RH (%)        75           100          47
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1870                      2210
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     NW  8
VENTILATION RATE      46750                     17680
ADI EARLY             38 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  9 POOR
ADI LATE              50 GEN GOOD  8 POOR       20 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        4            9            3

REMARKS...BROTAK PROFILE IN EVIDENCE TODAY.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-250030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
326 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           30           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   2            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          76           57           64
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 10         S  7         W  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 11        SW  5        W  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1
INVERSION             70/1000      1900         63/1200
MIN/MAX RH (%)        77           100          43
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2180                      2220
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      NW 10
VENTILATION RATE      54500                     22200
ADI EARLY             49 GEN GOOD  13 GEN POOR  10 POOR
ADI LATE              55 GEN GOOD  6 VERY POOR  30 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        4            9            3

REMARKS...BROTAK PROFILE IN EVIDENCE TODAY.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-250030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
326 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           30           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   2            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          77           58           65
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 10         S  8         W  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 12         SW  5        NW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            3
INVERSION             71/1000      1900         63/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        78           100          47
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1960                      2210
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     NW 13
VENTILATION RATE      50960                     28730
ADI EARLY             41 GEN GOOD  13 GEN POOR  12 POOR
ADI LATE              56 GEN GOOD  7 POOR       30 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        4            9            3

REMARKS...BROTAK PROFILE IN EVIDENCE TODAY.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-250030-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
326 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           30           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   2            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          76           57           64
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 10         S  7         W  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 11        SW  5        W  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1
INVERSION             71/1000      1900         63/1200
MIN/MAX RH (%)        77           97           44
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2280                      2210
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      NW 12
VENTILATION RATE      54720                     26520
ADI EARLY             49 GEN GOOD  12 POOR      15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              54 GEN GOOD  6 VERY POOR  29 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        4            8            3

REMARKS...BROTAK PROFILE IN EVIDENCE TODAY.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-250030-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON
326 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           20           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   2            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          76           53           63
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW 11        SW  7        W  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 11        SW  5        LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1
INVERSION             70/1000      1900         61/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        75           99           42
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2540                      2300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      NW 12
VENTILATION RATE      40640                     27600
ADI EARLY             47 GEN GOOD  16 GEN POOR  8 POOR
ADI LATE              52 GEN GOOD  7 POOR       32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            2

REMARKS...BROTAK PROFILE IN EVIDENCE TODAY.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 90 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40




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