Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 201954
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
354 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A few disturbances aloft will bring isolated showers through
Friday. High pressure will build in from the north for the
remainder of the week, while Jose spins nearly stationary off
the Mid-Atlantic coast. Dangerous hurricane Maria will bring
increasing southeast swell and strengthening rip currents to the
Carolinas beginning late this week. Maria is expected to move
north and offshore of the Carolinas early next week.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate to High

NCZ105>110-211200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
354 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           40           30           30
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          69           88           67           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  4
Precip amount         0.01         0.07         0.02         0.02
Precip duration       1            2            1            1
Inversion             2000         79/1000      2000         79/1100
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           53           100          53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7670                      6820
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  3                     NE  5
Ventilation rate                   23010                     34100
ADI early             27 Fair      5 Very poor  6 Very poor  11 poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  17 Gen poor  1 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            9            7            10
Max LVORI late        8            3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-211200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
354 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           20           20
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            2            2
Min/Max Temp          68           89           67           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  4
Precip amount         0.03         0.07         0.02         0.02
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Inversion             2000         78/1000      2000         79/1100
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           49           100          50
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                8430                      7740
Transport wnd (mph)                N  5                      NE  8
Ventilation rate                   42150                     61920
ADI early             29 Fair      4 Very poor  24 Fair      22 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  32 Fair      1 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           7            10
Max LVORI late        9            2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 46 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-211200-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
354 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           30           30
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          70           88           68           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.07         0.04         0.05
Precip duration                    1            1            2
Inversion             2000         80/1000      2000         80/1100
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           53           100          55
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7750                      6860
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  5                     NE  7
Ventilation rate                   38750                     48020
ADI early             18 Gen poor  4 Very poor  4 Very poor  14 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  32 Fair      1 Very poor  30 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            8            6            10
Max LVORI late        7            3            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-211200-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
354 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           20           30
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          69           89           67           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  4
Precip amount         0.01         0.06         0.04         0.07
Precip duration       1            1            1            2
Inversion             2000         79/1000      2000         79/1100
Dispersion            Poor                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           51           100          52
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7860                      7490
Transport wnd (mph)                N  5                      NE  8
Ventilation rate                   39300                     59920
ADI early             23 Fair      5 Very poor  15 Gen poor  16 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  36 Fair      1 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            10           6            10
Max LVORI late        9            2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 45 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-211200-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
354 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           30           30
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3            3
Min/Max Temp          68           89           67           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        NW  3        LGT/VAR      NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5
Precip amount         0.02         0.03         0.03         0.05
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Inversion             2000         78/1000      2000         79/1100
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           49           100          50
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                8390                      7970
Transport wnd (mph)                N  5                      NE  8
Ventilation rate                   41950                     63760
ADI early             22 Fair      12 poor      17 Gen poor  23 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  38 Fair      2 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            10           6            10
Max LVORI late        9            2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 40 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

8


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