Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
000
FNUS52 KILM 172008
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
308 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Warm weather on Saturday will give way to a strong cold front
Saturday night and cooler weather. Low relative humidity and
near freezing temperatures are possible Sunday night through Monday night.
Temperatures will moderate Tuesday and Wednesday.


Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-181215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
308 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            50           30
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          35           71           55           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 12 G25    W 11 G23
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  9         SW 13 G26    NW 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.02
Precip duration                                 1            1
Inversion             1800         60/1000      1800         57/0600
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        100          49           88           37
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5680                      4800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 25                     NW 20
Ventilation rate                   142000                    96000
ADI early             2 Very poor  39 Fair      14 Gen poor  61 Good
ADI late              1 Very poor  102 Very good14 Gen poor  65 Good
Max LVORI early       5            8            4            4
Max LVORI late        9            2            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 74 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-181215-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
308 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            50           20
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          34           71           52           63
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  3         S 12 G22     NW 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S 10         SW 14 G24    NW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.02
Precip duration                                 1            1
Inversion             1800         56/1000      1800         55/0600
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        97           49           85           35
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5470                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 26                     NW 18
Ventilation rate                   142220                    91800
ADI early             2 Very poor  40 Fair      15 Gen poor  61 Good
ADI late              1 Very poor  89 Good      15 Gen poor  75 Good
Max LVORI early       4            7            4            4
Max LVORI late        8            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 76 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light and variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-181215-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
308 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40           20
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          37           73           55           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  3         SW 12 G23    W 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S 10         SW 13 G24    NW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.02
Precip duration                                 1            1
Inversion             1800         61/1000      1800         57/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        100          50           87           36
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5690                      4720
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 25                     NW 20
Ventilation rate                   142250                    94400
ADI early             2 Very poor  37 Fair      14 Gen poor  60 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  85 Good      14 Gen poor  72 Good
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            4
Max LVORI late        10           1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 76 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Highs around 60. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-181215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
308 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            50           20
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          35           71           52           61
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  3         S 12 G21     NW 11
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 10        SW 15 G23    NW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.02
Precip duration                                 1            1
Inversion             1800         55/1000      1800         54/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        95           49           83           36
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5200                      5120
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 25                     NW 18
Ventilation rate                   130000                    92160
ADI early             2 Very poor  37 Fair      15 Gen poor  64 Good
ADI late              1 Very poor  79 Good      16 Gen poor  76 Good
Max LVORI early       4            7            3            4
Max LVORI late        8            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 80 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light and variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-181215-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
308 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40           20
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          37           73           54           63
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  3         S 11 G21     NW 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S 10         SW 13 G22    NW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.02
Precip duration                                 1            1
Inversion             1800         58/1000      1800         56/0600
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        98           49           88           35
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5610                      5080
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 24                     NW 20
Ventilation rate                   134640                    101600
ADI early             2 Very poor  38 Fair      14 Gen poor  61 Good
ADI late              1 Very poor  81 Good      14 Gen poor  79 Good
Max LVORI early       5            7            4            5
Max LVORI late        9            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 78 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light and variable wind.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

5


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.