Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 200851
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
351 AM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Mild temperatures for January, will prevail through early next
week. A cold front will bring rain showers Monday afternoon
through Tuesday morning. A warm afternoon Tuesday, will precede
a cooling trend Wednesday and Thursday as high pressure builds
in. The high will slip offshore Friday, setting the stage for a
warming trend next weekend,

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-210100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
351 AM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           33           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         W  4         NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        W  3         SW  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             46/1000      1800         48/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        27           95           48
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2620                      4240
Transport wnd (mph)   W 15                      NW  2
Ventilation rate      39300                     8480
ADI early             8 poor       4 Very poor  7 poor
ADI late              42 Gen good  2 Very poor  17 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       4            5            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 95 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Patchy fog. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
46 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-210100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
351 AM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           32           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         W  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  6         W  3         SW  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             41/1000      1800         47/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        28           97           46
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2530                      5070
Transport wnd (mph)   W 12                      E  1
Ventilation rate      30360                     5070
ADI early             6 Very poor  3 Very poor  8 poor
ADI late              34 Fair      2 Very poor  17 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            5            7
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-210100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
351 AM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          62           35           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         W  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        W  3         SE  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             46/1000      1800         48/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        25           96           45
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3000                      4630
Transport wnd (mph)   W 13                      SE  5
Ventilation rate      39000                     23150
ADI early             11 poor      3 Very poor  7 poor
ADI late              48 Gen good  2 Very poor  18 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Patchy fog. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
55 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-210100-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
351 AM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          62           34           66
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        W  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  6         LGT/VAR      S  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             42/1000      1800         47/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        27           99           44
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3150                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)   W 10                      SE  6
Ventilation rate      31500                     29400
ADI early             10 poor      3 Very poor  7 poor
ADI late              40 Fair      2 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            8
Max LVORI late        2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-210100-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
351 AM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           32           66
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      S  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             39/1000      1800         45/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        29           100          45
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2970                      5140
Transport wnd (mph)   W  9                      SE  7
Ventilation rate      26730                     35980
ADI early             8 poor       2 Very poor  7 poor
ADI late              30 Fair      2 Very poor  27 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            5            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
Maximum RH 86 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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