Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 281015
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
415 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop across the
Mid-South this morning as a warm front surges north through the
region. Warm and more unstable air will be in place across the
Mid-South by this evening setting the stage for a potential
severe weather event from this evening through Wednesday morning
as a cold front pushes into the region. Milder weather with drier
air will return to the area for the upcoming weekend.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-282315-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
415 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           70           40
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.14         0.61         0.02
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            9            1
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   12 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      74 (+11)     60 (+7)      66
RH % (24h Trend)      73 (+6)      99 (0)       30
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 9-13 G19                W 13-17 G23
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 12-16 G22  S 12-16 G24  NW 12-16 G23
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    688                       1519
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   2258                      4982
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    774                       1604
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   2540                      5264
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 12                     NW 13
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 28                     NW 29
Vent Index (m2/s)     9288                      20852
Category Day          4                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 71                        62
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 13                      W 12
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 29                      W 27
Dispersion Index      47           67           76
LAL                   3            4            3
LASI                  2            3            4
Stability             D            D            D
Stagnation Index      1            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
60 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-282315-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
415 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           70           50
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.15         0.47         0.03
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            9            1
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   12 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      77 (+15)     62 (+9)      69
RH % (24h Trend)      67 (-3)      97 (-2)      31
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 8-12                    W 12-16
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 11-15 G20  S 12-16 G24  NW 11-15 G20
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1035                      1316
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   3394                      4318
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1097                      1378
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   3598                      4522
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW 14                     NW 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 31                     NW 25
Vent Index (m2/s)     15358                     15158
Category Day          4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 74                        66
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 12                      W 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 27                      W 25
Dispersion Index      45           67           82
LAL                   3            4            3
LASI                  2            3            3
Stability             D            D            C
Stagnation Index      1            0            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. West winds around
5 mph becoming northwest after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-282315-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
415 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     70           70           80
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.15         0.59         0.18
Precip Dur (hrs)      6            9            7
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      73 (+8)      62 (+9)      67
RH % (24h Trend)      72 (+16)     99 (+1)      34
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 7-11                    SW 12-16 G21
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 8-12       S 9-13 G20   W 11-15 G22
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    495                       1340
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   1623                      4396
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    616                       1461
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   2020                      4793
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S 12                      W 12
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 26                      W 28
Vent Index (m2/s)     7392                      17532
Category Day          3                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 69                        65
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 13                      W 13
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 29                      W 29
Dispersion Index      53           62           94
LAL                   3            4            5
LASI                  2            3            3
Stability             C            D            D
Stagnation Index      1            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 38 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-282315-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
415 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     60           70           70
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.16         0.44         0.17
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            6            7
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      75 (+11)     63 (+9)      70
RH % (24h Trend)      69 (+10)     98 (0)       33
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 7-11 G17                SW 11-15 G21
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 9-13 G19   S 10-14 G22  NW 11-15 G21
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    496                       1234
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   1626                      4048
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    617                       1355
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   2024                      4445
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S 11                      W 13
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 25                      W 29
Vent Index (m2/s)     6787                      17615
Category Day          3                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 70                        67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 13                      W 12
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 28                      W 28
Dispersion Index      50           61           90
LAL                   3            4            5
LASI                  2            3            3
Stability             C            D            D
Stagnation Index      1            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-282315-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
415 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     50           60           60
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.16         0.20         0.09
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            6            5
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      78 (+18)     64 (+12)     73
RH % (24h Trend)      63 (-7)      99 (0)       32
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 8-12 G18                SW 10-14 G20
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 10-14 G19  S 10-14 G23  NW 10-14 G21
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    895                       1764
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   2936                      5787
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    967                       1836
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   3171                      6022
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S 12                      W 12
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 28                      W 28
Vent Index (m2/s)     11604                     22032
Category Day          4                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73                        70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 11                      W 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 25                      W 24
Dispersion Index      50           44           89
LAL                   3            4            4
LASI                  2            3            3
Stability             C            D            C
Stagnation Index      1            0            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-282315-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
415 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     60           50           80
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.21         0.15         0.17
Precip Dur (hrs)      6            2            7
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      76 (+17)     64 (+12)     74
RH % (24h Trend)      67 (+9)      96 (-2)      34
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 6-10                    SW 9-13
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 7-11       S 7-11 G17   NW 8-12
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    610                       1148
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   2001                      3765
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    734                       1271
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   2408                      4171
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  9                      W 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 21                      W 25
Vent Index (m2/s)     6606                      13981
Category Day          3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 70                        70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 11                      SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 25                      SW 24
Dispersion Index      42           54           82
LAL                   3            4            5
LASI                  2            3            3
Stability             C            D            C
Stagnation Index      2            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 28 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$


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