Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 200811
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
311 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...
It will remain unseasonably warm for the remainder of
the week.  After a dry day today, there will be increased chances
for rain at times.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210915-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
311 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (+3)   53-58 (+3)   70-75
RH % (24h trend)      38-43 (-6)   95-100 (+10) 54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6 G22                  S  8 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G25    S  5 G18     SW  9 G26
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            50
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    7 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.18
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      4300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2900                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)   S 17                      SW 17
Dispersion            45 Gen good               34 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G22                  S 11 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 12 G25    S  7 G18     SW 11 G26

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 50s to
lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210915-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
311 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      66-71 (+1)   51-56 (+3)   68-73
RH % (24h trend)      43-48 (-5)   95-100 (+12) 53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G20                  S  7 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G19     S  5 G17     SW  7 G18
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           40
Precip duration                    1            1
Precip begin                       1 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.17
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4500                      4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1800                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)   S 15                      SW 12
Dispersion            22 Fair                   20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G20                  S 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G19     S  7 G17     SW  8 G18

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to upper 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. West winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-210915-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
311 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (+2)   53-58 (+1)   67-72
RH % (24h trend)      51-56 (-7)   95-100 (+8)  55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 11 G31                  SW 10 G31
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 12 G30    S 10 G29     SW  9 G24
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           40
Precip duration                    1            1
Precip begin                       10 PM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.23
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4500                      4800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1400                      1800
Transport wnd (mph)   S 22                      SW 17
Dispersion            24 Fair                   24 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 14 G31                  SW 13 G31
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 15 G30    S 13 G29     SW 11 G24

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to
mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-210915-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
311 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      66-71 (+2)   54-59 (-3)   71-76
RH % (24h trend)      55-60 (-6)   95-100 (+13) 57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G23                  S  8 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G24     S  7 G18     S  9 G21
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            40           50
Precip duration                    1            1
Precip begin                       10 PM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.17
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3500                      3900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1400                      1900
Transport wnd (mph)   S 18                      S 16
Dispersion            23 Fair                   26 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G23                  S 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G24     S  8 G18     S 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. North winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-210915-
Nantahala National Forest-
311 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   52-57 (-4)   69-74
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-4)   95-100 (+10) 61-66
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      S  6 G16
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         showers      tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.22
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3500
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   1500                      1300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S 13
DISPERSION            16 Gen poor               13 Gen poor
MAX LVORI             4                         7
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  SW  6 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      S  7 G16

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid
70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210915-
East Tennessee District East-
311 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (+2)   54-59 (+4)   73-78
RH % (24h trend)      39-44 (-7)   95-100 (+10) 52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  5 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G23    LGT/VAR      SW  8 G23
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            40
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    7 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.16
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4600                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3100                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)   S 16                      SW 15
Dispersion            42 Gen good               33 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  5 G17                  S  7 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G23    LGT/VAR      SW 11 G23

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s to upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid
70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs in the 60s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s
to mid 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210915-
East Tennessee District West-
311 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (+4)   58-63 (+5)   72-77
RH % (24h trend)      45-50 (-7)   91-96 (+4)   55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  6 G24                 SW  7 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G27    S  7 G19     SW  8 G23
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           50
Precip duration                    1            1
Precip begin                       1 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.17
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3700                      3800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2400                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)   S 22                      SW 18
Dispersion            44 Gen good               41 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  8 G24                 SW  9 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 14 G27    S  9 G19     SW 11 G23

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to upper 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. North winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-210915-
Cumberland District South-
311 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018 /211 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (+2)   59-64 (+5)   73-78
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (-3)   95-100 (+5)  56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G24                  S  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G25     S  8 G20     S  8 G22
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           50
Precip duration                    1            1
Precip begin                       1 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.16
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2300                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1200                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)   S 20                      S 20
Dispersion            19 Gen poor               41 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G24                  S 11 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G25     S 10 G20     S 11 G22

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. South winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. North winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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