Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
000
FNUS54 KMRX 212021
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
321 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure settles in across the region after the
passage of a cold front tonight. Dry conditions and a warming trend
are expected for the remainder of the week.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222130-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
321 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      33-38 (+4)   42-47 (-15)  26-31        48-53
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+14)  49-54 (+5)   89-94        35-40
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     10           0            0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            7 AM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4100                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2100                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  9                     SW  9
Dispersion                         16 Gen poor               19 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  8                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6        NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 30s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 30s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the lower 30s to mid 40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 30s
to upper 40s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222130-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
321 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (+7)   41-46 (-12)  27-32        46-51
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+13)  52-57 (+2)   90-95        40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  6 G17    LGT/VAR      W  5
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            7 AM
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4600                      5100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1800                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 13                     W 10
Dispersion                         18 Gen poor               20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  9 G18                 SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6        NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      W  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
mid 30s to upper 40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-222130-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
321 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (+11)  43-48 (-12)  29-34        47-52
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+4)   44-49 (-9)   95-100       41-46
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            7 AM
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4600                      5000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1500                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)                N  9                      W  9
Dispersion                         11 Poor                   13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  N  8                      SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G15    N  7         LGT/VAR      W  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the mid 30s to upper 40s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-222130-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
321 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (+12)  48-53 (-9)   30-35        51-56
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  50-55 (-5)   95-100       48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  N  7 G18                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  7 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            7 AM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3500                      4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1400                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                N 10                      SW  5
Dispersion                         13 Gen poor               9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  N  9 G18                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  9 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Light winds
becoming southwest less than 10 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper
30s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-222130-
Nantahala National Forest-
321 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MClear       PCldy        MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+13)  52-57 (-8)   30-35        52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  45-50 (-7)   95-100       49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM
PRECIP END            7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4900
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                1800                      2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     SW  3
DISPERSION                         8 Poor                    6 Very poor
MAX LVORI                          6                         6
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8                      LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Light winds
becoming south less than 10 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222130-
East Tennessee District East-
321 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (+8)   46-51 (-9)   26-31        49-54
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+5)   50-55 (+1)   93-98        39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            7 AM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3800                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2300                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)                N  6                      SW  8
Dispersion                         11 Poor                   17 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s to upper 30s.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 50s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the mid 30s to upper 40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to lower
50s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222130-
East Tennessee District West-
321 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (+8)   46-51 (-10)  29-34        51-56
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (-1)   48-53 (-6)   92-97        36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3200                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2000                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                N 10                      SW  6
Dispersion                         17 Gen poor               11 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 30s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the upper 30s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower
40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-222130-
Cumberland District South-
321 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017 /221 PM CST Tue Nov 21 2017/

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (+7)   48-53 (-8)   30-35        53-58
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (-1)   47-52 (-7)   90-95        38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  N  7 G19                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2700                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1600                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)                N 14                      SW  2
Dispersion                         20 Gen poor               5 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  N 10 G19                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      N 10 G17     N  5         LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 40. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the 40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
upper 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.