Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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000
FNUS55 KTWC 042206
FWFTWC

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
300 PM MST WED MAY 4 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MST THURSDAY FOR
STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND A HIGH FIRE DANGER
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 150 AND 151 INCLUDING PIMA...SOUTHEAST
PINAL...SANTA CRUZ AND WESTERN COCHISE COUNTIES...

RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY FOR STRONG
AND GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND A HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 151...152 AND SOUTHERN 153 INCLUDING EASTERN
PIMA...SOUTHEAST PINAL...SANTA CRUZ...COCHISE...GRAHAM AND SOUTHERN
GREENLEE COUNTIES...

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
    TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

.DISCUSSION...GUSTY EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE NEW MEXICO
BORDER TO TUCSON THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS TONIGHT. STRONG AND
GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS A
STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST. THE STRONGEST WINDS
ON THURSDAY WILL MAINLY BE FROM THE TUCSON METRO AREA WESTWARD...WITH
THE CORE OF THE STRONG WINDS SHIFTING EASTWARD FROM TUCSON INTO
COCHISE COUNTY AND AREAS ADJACENT TO THE NEW MEXICO BORDER ON FRIDAY.
THEREFORE...A RED FLAG WARNING FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND A HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING WILL BE IN EFFECT
ON THURSDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 150 AND 151 AND ON FRIDAY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 151...152 AND SOUTHERN 153. 20-FOOT WINDS WILL BE
FROM THE SOUTH ON THURSDAY...AND SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST ON FRIDAY.

AZZ150-051415-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 150
WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
TOHONO O`ODHAM NATION-TDC-
300 PM MST WED MAY 4 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MST THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........59 TO 69 DEGS.
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 4 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............25 TO 35 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 6 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............5 MODERATE.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........86 TO 96 DEGS.
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 7 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............5 TO 15 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..BREEZY. SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........52 TO 62 DEGS.
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 7 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............47 TO 57 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 22 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..BREEZY. SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............5 MODERATE.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........71 TO 81 DEGS.
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 15 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............15 TO 25 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 10 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..BREEZY. SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS WARM. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 48 TO 58. HIGHS 69 TO 79. SOUTH WIND AROUND 15
MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 21 TO 31 PCT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 48 TO 58. HIGHS 72 TO 82. LIGHT WINDS.
MINIMUM HUMIDITY 17 TO 27 PCT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 51 TO 61. HIGHS 78 TO 88. LIGHT WINDS.
MINIMUM HUMIDITY 14 TO 21 PCT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53 TO 63. HIGHS 81 TO 91.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 54 TO 64. HIGHS 88 TO 98.

$$

AZZ151-051415-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 151
EASTERN PIMA COUNTY-SOUTHEASTERN PINAL COUNTY-
SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-WESTERN COCHISE COUNTY-
CORONADO NF-TDC-
243 PM MST WED MAY 4 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MST THURSDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........54 TO 64 DEGS
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........51 TO 61 DEGS
*    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........25 TO 35 PCT
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........25 TO 34 PCT
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 5 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY
  CLOUDY. .
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........85 TO 95 DEGS
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........73 TO 84 DEGS
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........4 TO 10 PCT
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........6 TO 13 PCT
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..BREEZY. SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.
* MIXING HEIGHT............10832 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTH 25 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (270800 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........49 TO 59 DEGS
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........46 TO 56 DEGS
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 5 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........38 TO 48 PCT
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........38 TO 47 PCT
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 13 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..BREEZY. SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............5 MODERATE.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY
  CLOUDY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........72 TO 82 DEGS
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........60 TO 71 DEGS
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 13 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........7 TO 13 PCT
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........9 TO 16 PCT
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 3 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..BREEZY. SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............5 MODERATE.
* MIXING HEIGHT............7904 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 27 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (268736 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS WARM. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 41 TO 51. HIGHS 66 TO 76. SOUTH WIND AROUND 15
MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 17 TO 27 PCT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 41 TO 51. HIGHS 67 TO 77. SOUTHWEST
WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 16 TO 26 PCT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 44 TO 54. HIGHS 72 TO 82. SOUTHWEST WIND
AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 14 TO 23 PCT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 47 TO 57. HIGHS 77 TO 87.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 49 TO 59. HIGHS 83 TO 93.

NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)

$$

AZZ152-051415-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 152
SOUTHERN GRAHAM COUNTY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN COCHISE COUNTY-
SOUTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-
LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE SAN CARLOS APACHE NATION
IN GRAHAM COUNTY-CORONADO NF-SAFFORD BLM-TDC-
243 PM MST WED MAY 4 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........52 TO 62 DEGS
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........50 TO 60 DEGS
*    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........30 TO 40 PCT
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........31 TO 41 PCT
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 5 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY
  CLOUDY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........84 TO 94 DEGS
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........74 TO 84 DEGS
*    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........6 TO 14 PCT
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........7 TO 17 PCT
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 4 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.
* MIXING HEIGHT............13609 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTH 22 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (299398 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........49 TO 59 DEGS
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........47 TO 57 DEGS
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........34 TO 44 PCT
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........35 TO 45 PCT
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 4 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............5 MODERATE.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY
  CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........75 TO 85 DEGS
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........65 TO 75 DEGS
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 9 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........5 TO 15 PCT
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........7 TO 17 PCT
*    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..BREEZY. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............5 MODERATE.
* MIXING HEIGHT............10279 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTH 28 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (359765 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS WARM. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 40 TO 50. HIGHS 65 TO 75. SOUTH WIND AROUND 20
MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 15 TO 25 PCT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 39 TO 49.
HIGHS 64 TO 74. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 17 TO
27 PCT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 42 TO 52. HIGHS 69 TO 79. SOUTHWEST WIND
AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 14 TO 24 PCT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 45 TO 55. HIGHS 76 TO 86.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 47 TO 57. HIGHS 80 TO 90.

NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)

$$

AZZ153-051415-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 153
NORTHERN GRAHAM COUNTY-NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-
WHITE AND GILA MOUNTAINS-APACHE SITGREAVES NF-SDC-
243 PM MST WED MAY 4 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MST FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........46 TO 56 DEGS.
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 3 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............34 TO 44 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 10 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY
  CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
  AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........74 TO 84 DEGS.
*    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............9 TO 19 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* LAL......................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.
* MIXING HEIGHT............12441 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTH 23 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (286143 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........42 TO 52 DEGS.
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 4 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............39 TO 49 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 5 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............5 MODERATE.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........65 TO 75 DEGS.
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 9 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............10 TO 20 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..BREEZY. SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............5 MODERATE.
* MIXING HEIGHT............12237 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTH 27 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (428295 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 32 TO 42. HIGHS 56 TO 66. SOUTH WIND AROUND 15
MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 18 TO 28 PCT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 32 TO 42. HIGHS 56 TO 66. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM
HUMIDITY 23 TO 33 PCT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 34 TO 44. HIGHS 60 TO 70. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM
HUMIDITY 20 TO 30 PCT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 39 TO 49. HIGHS 68 TO 78.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 40 TO 50. HIGHS 72 TO 82.

NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)

$$

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