Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS86 KLOX 012238
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ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
338 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

ECC029-021645-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
338 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

...DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT LATER TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WITH LOCALLY BREEZY OFFSHORE WINDS
OVER SANTA BARBARA AND SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTIES THROUGH FRIDAY...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FORMING OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING GUSTY
OFFSHORE FLOW TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THESE NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE
ALREADY FORMED OVER INTERIOR LOS ANGELES COUNTY...AND WILL PUSH DOWN
INTO THE VALLEY AND COASTAL SECTIONS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS
ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE OF THE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
40 MPH VARIETY...BUT WILL BE LOCALLY STRONGER. MEANWHILE A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER CALIFORNIA...BRINGING HOT
AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION WITH HUMIDITIES AROUND
10 PERCENT OVER MOST AREAS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS A
RESULT...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OVER MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON THURSDAY. MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY AREAS
HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO EXCEED THE 6 HOUR DURATION THRESHOLDS...BUT
SOME COASTAL AREAS SHOULD SEE A FEW HOURS OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS AS
WELL. SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES WILL HAVE ELEVATED
FIRE CONCERNS AS WELL WITH HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS...BUT WINDS
WILL BE WEAKER AND VERY LOCALIZED.

CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HOTTER AND DRIER THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...BUT THE WINDS WILL WEAKEN EACH DAY. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT LESS CERTAIN THAN THURSDAY DUE TO THE WEAKER WINDS.
REGARDLESS...TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
HUMIDITIES WILL MAINTAIN A PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE CONCERN. COOLING
AND MOISTENING EXPECTED GRADUALLY NEXT WEEK.


...DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY...

...GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS IN THE HILLS THIS MORNING...

...MUCH WARMER AND DRIER TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE DISTRICT PRODUCING VERY
WARM...DRY AND OCCASIONAL BREEZY WEATHER. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST
OVER THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE MAINLY IN
THE 80S AND 90S WITH A FEW TRIPLE DIGIT READINGS. AT NIGHT THE
THERMAL BELTS WILL BE ACTIVE WITH MILD TEMPERATURES AND POOR
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES. THE HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. THE HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO HELP TO RAPIDLY
DRY OUT THE FINE FUELS.

NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.



$$

ECC028-021645-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
338 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

...HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WITH LOCALLY BREEZY OFFSHORE WINDS
OVER SANTA BARBARA AND SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTIES THROUGH FRIDAY...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FORMING OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING GUSTY
OFFSHORE FLOW TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THESE NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE
ALREADY FORMED OVER INTERIOR LOS ANGELES COUNTY...AND WILL PUSH DOWN
INTO THE VALLEY AND COASTAL SECTIONS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS
ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE OF THE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
40 MPH VARIETY...BUT WILL BE LOCALLY STRONGER. MEANWHILE A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER CALIFORNIA...BRINGING HOT
AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION WITH HUMIDITIES AROUND
10 PERCENT OVER MOST AREAS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS A
RESULT...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OVER MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON THURSDAY. MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY AREAS
HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO EXCEED THE 6 HOUR DURATION THRESHOLDS...BUT
SOME COASTAL AREAS SHOULD SEE A FEW HOURS OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS AS
WELL. SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES WILL HAVE ELEVATED
FIRE CONCERNS AS WELL WITH HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS...BUT WINDS
WILL BE WEAKER AND VERY LOCALIZED.

CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HOTTER AND DRIER THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...BUT THE WINDS WILL WEAKEN EACH DAY. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT LESS CERTAIN THAN THURSDAY DUE TO THE WEAKER WINDS.
REGARDLESS...TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
HUMIDITIES WILL MAINTAIN A PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE CONCERN. COOLING
AND MOISTENING EXPECTED GRADUALLY NEXT WEEK.


$$

ECC031-021645-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
338 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT LATER TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FORMING OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING
GUSTY OFFSHORE FLOW TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THESE NORTHEAST WINDS
HAVE ALREADY FORMED OVER INTERIOR LOS ANGELES COUNTY...AND WILL
PUSH DOWN INTO THE VALLEY AND COASTAL SECTIONS TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY. WINDS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE OF THE 15 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH VARIETY...BUT WILL BE LOCALLY STRONGER.
MEANWHILE A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER
CALIFORNIA...BRINGING HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION
WITH HUMIDITIES AROUND 10 PERCENT OVER MOST AREAS BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
OVER MUCH OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON THURSDAY.
MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY AREAS HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO EXCEED THE 6
HOUR DURATION THRESHOLDS...BUT SOME COASTAL AREAS SHOULD SEE A FEW
HOURS OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS AS WELL. SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA
BARBARA COUNTIES WILL HAVE ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS AS WELL WITH HOT
AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS...BUT WINDS WILL BE WEAKER AND VERY
LOCALIZED.

CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HOTTER AND DRIER THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...BUT THE WINDS WILL WEAKEN EACH DAY. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT LESS CERTAIN THAN THURSDAY DUE TO THE WEAKER WINDS.
REGARDLESS...TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
HUMIDITIES WILL MAINTAIN A PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE CONCERN. COOLING
AND MOISTENING EXPECTED GRADUALLY NEXT WEEK.


$$

ECC024-021645-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR...SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
338 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

...HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WITH LOCALLY BREEZY OFFSHORE WINDS
OVER SANTA BARBARA AND SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTIES THROUGH FRIDAY...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FORMING OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING GUSTY
OFFSHORE FLOW TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THESE NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE
ALREADY FORMED OVER INTERIOR LOS ANGELES COUNTY...AND WILL PUSH DOWN
INTO THE VALLEY AND COASTAL SECTIONS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS
ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE OF THE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
40 MPH VARIETY...BUT WILL BE LOCALLY STRONGER. MEANWHILE A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER CALIFORNIA...BRINGING HOT
AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION WITH HUMIDITIES AROUND
10 PERCENT OVER MOST AREAS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS A
RESULT...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OVER MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON THURSDAY. MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY AREAS
HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO EXCEED THE 6 HOUR DURATION THRESHOLDS...BUT
SOME COASTAL AREAS SHOULD SEE A FEW HOURS OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS AS
WELL. SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES WILL HAVE ELEVATED
FIRE CONCERNS AS WELL WITH HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS...BUT WINDS
WILL BE WEAKER AND VERY LOCALIZED.

CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HOTTER AND DRIER THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...BUT THE WINDS WILL WEAKEN EACH DAY. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT LESS CERTAIN THAN THURSDAY DUE TO THE WEAKER WINDS.
REGARDLESS...TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
HUMIDITIES WILL MAINTAIN A PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE CONCERN. COOLING
AND MOISTENING EXPECTED GRADUALLY NEXT WEEK.


$$

ECC032-021645-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
338 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT LATER TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FORMING OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING GUSTY
OFFSHORE FLOW TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THESE NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE
ALREADY FORMED OVER INTERIOR LOS ANGELES COUNTY...AND WILL PUSH DOWN
INTO THE VALLEY AND COASTAL SECTIONS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS
ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE OF THE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
40 MPH VARIETY...BUT WILL BE LOCALLY STRONGER. MEANWHILE A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER CALIFORNIA...BRINGING HOT
AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION WITH HUMIDITIES AROUND
10 PERCENT OVER MOST AREAS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS A
RESULT...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OVER MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON THURSDAY. MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY AREAS
HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO EXCEED THE 6 HOUR DURATION THRESHOLDS...BUT
SOME COASTAL AREAS SHOULD SEE A FEW HOURS OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS AS
WELL. SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES WILL HAVE ELEVATED
FIRE CONCERNS AS WELL WITH HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS...BUT WINDS
WILL BE WEAKER AND VERY LOCALIZED.

CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HOTTER AND DRIER THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...BUT THE WINDS WILL WEAKEN EACH DAY. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT LESS CERTAIN THAN THURSDAY DUE TO THE WEAKER WINDS.
REGARDLESS...TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
HUMIDITIES WILL MAINTAIN A PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE CONCERN. COOLING
AND MOISTENING EXPECTED GRADUALLY NEXT WEEK.


$$

ECC030-021645-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
338 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT LATER TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FORMING OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING GUSTY
OFFSHORE FLOW TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THESE NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE
ALREADY FORMED OVER INTERIOR LOS ANGELES COUNTY...AND WILL PUSH DOWN
INTO THE VALLEY AND COASTAL SECTIONS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS
ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE OF THE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
40 MPH VARIETY...BUT WILL BE LOCALLY STRONGER. MEANWHILE A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER CALIFORNIA...BRINGING HOT
AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION WITH HUMIDITIES AROUND
10 PERCENT OVER MOST AREAS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS A
RESULT...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OVER MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON THURSDAY. MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY AREAS
HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO EXCEED THE 6 HOUR DURATION THRESHOLDS...BUT
SOME COASTAL AREAS SHOULD SEE A FEW HOURS OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS AS
WELL. SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES WILL HAVE ELEVATED
FIRE CONCERNS AS WELL WITH HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS...BUT WINDS
WILL BE WEAKER AND VERY LOCALIZED.

CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HOTTER AND DRIER THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...BUT THE WINDS WILL WEAKEN EACH DAY. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT LESS CERTAIN THAN THURSDAY DUE TO THE WEAKER WINDS.
REGARDLESS...TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
HUMIDITIES WILL MAINTAIN A PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE CONCERN. COOLING
AND MOISTENING EXPECTED GRADUALLY NEXT WEEK.


$$







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