Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 281232
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Mill Creek Piles...National Park Service
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
532 AM MST Tue Feb 28 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MST on February 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Today and tonight...Light snow will continue through
this morning but will decrease in coverage this afternoon.  Additional
accumulations will be in the 1 to 3 inch range.  The snow will
continue decrease this evening with strong northwest winds developing
overnight and continuing into Wednesday.  Dry and warmer for the
rest of the week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. snow showers likely until 1000, then chance
                    of snow showers.
Max temperature.....Around 26.
Min humidity........54%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 4-8 mph until 1000 then west winds
                    6-12 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10-20 mph until 1100, then 25-35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then good until 1100, then
                    very good until 1600, then excellent.
Haines Index........3 very low .

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy until 0100, then partly
                    cloudy(50-60%). Chance of snow showers until
                    2300, then slight chance of snow showers until
                    0200.
Min temperature.....Around 11.
Max humidity........61%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 15-25 mph with gusts to 45 mph.
Transport winds.....West 40-55 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 1900, then very good until
                    2300, then excellent until 0400, then very
                    good.
Haines Index........4 low .

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(30-40%) until 0900, then mostly
                    sunny until 1500, then partly cloudy(30-40%).
Max temperature.....Around 25.
Min humidity........43%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 18-28 mph with gusts to 50 mph
                    until 1100 then gusts to 40 mph.
Transport winds.....West 35-50 mph until 1100, then 30-35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 0600, then good.
Haines Index........5 moderate.


Fire Weather Table for Mill Creek Piles.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

02/28-06 96 30  9 17 76 WSW  9  9 2 1 WSW 49  1156 WSW 12 11540 P
02/28-07 95 30  9 17 76 WSW  8  8 2 1 WSW 44  1104 WSW 10 10467 P
02/28-08 93 30  9 19 71 WSW  7  7 2 1 WSW 38  1052 WSW 10  9446 P
02/28-09 95 30  9 21 66 WSW  6  6 2 1 WSW 38  2446 WSW 14 30561 P
02/28-10 96 35 13 24 59   W  6  6 3 1 WSW 38  3841 WSW 18 61468   G
02/28-11 88 39 17 26 55   W  7  7 3 1 WSW 38  5236 WSW 23102170    V
02/28-12 88 39 17 26 55   W  8  8 3 1 WSW 39  5535   W 23109464    V
02/28-13 96 39 17 24 59   W 10 10 3 1 WSW 39  5834   W 23116916    V
02/28-14 95 42 19 23 60   W 13 13 3 1 WSW 40  6133   W 23124526    V
02/28-15 92 44 21 21 59   W 14 22 3 1 WSW 45  6083   W 28148674    V
02/28-16 85 44 21 20 55   W 15 24 2 1   W 51  6033   W 33172410     E
02/28-17 80 43 20 18 54   W 16 25 2 1   W 55  5983   W 38195733     E
02/28-18 73 41 18 16 55   W 16 26 2 1   W 60  4980   W 38164642     E
02/28-19 68 37 15 14 57   W 16 26 2 1   W 63  3976   W 38132851    V
02/28-20 63 32 11 12 61   W 17 28 2 1   W 68  2973   W 39100361    V
02/28-21 65 29  8 12 59   W 20 30 2 1   W 69  3262   W 41117599    V
02/28-22 67 28  8 12 59   W 21 33 2 1   W 71  3552   W 44136162    V
02/28-23 69 26  6 12 58   W 23 37 2 1   W 74  3841   W 47156051     E
03/01-00 63 25  5 12 57   W 24 39 2 1 WNW 74  3906   W 49166825     E
03/01-01 56 21  4 11 58   W 25 40 2 1 WNW 73  3971   W 52177869     E
03/01-02 50 17  3 11 58   W 25 40 2 1 WNW 73  4035   W 54189183     E
03/01-03 47 13  3 11 59   W 25 40 3 1 WNW 67  3577   W 52162535     E
03/01-04 43  9  2 12 58   W 25 40 4 1  NW 61  3119   W 51136855    V
03/01-05 38  7  1 13 55   W 25 40 5 1  NW 55  2661   W 48112606    V
03/01-06 35  7  1 12 58   W 24 39 5 1  NW 47  2414   W 46 96304   G
03/01-07 32  7  1 11 61   W 23 37 5 1  NW 38  2166   W 43 81197   G
03/01-08 30  7  1 11 61   W 22 35 5 1 WNW 29  1919   W 40 67286   G
03/01-09 27  7  1 13 58   W 21 33 5 1 WNW 31  2102   W 39 70636   G
03/01-10 24  7  1 16 53   W 20 31 5 1 WNW 33  2285   W 37 73451   G
03/01-11 21  1  0 19 49   W 18 30 5 1 WNW 35  2468   W 36 75731   G
03/01-12 24  1  0 22 45   W 17 28 5 1 WNW 35  2777   W 33 81185   G
03/01-13 26  1  0 24 44   W 17 28 5 1 WNW 35  3087   W 32 85738   G
03/01-14 29  1  0 25 44   W 17 28 5 1  NW 35  3396   W 30 89389   G
03/01-15 32  1  0 25 44   W 17 28 5 1  NW 37  3254   W 31 86688   G
03/01-16 35  1  0 24 44   W 17 28 5 1 WNW 39  3112   W 31 83895   G
03/01-17 37  0  0 23 43   W 17 28 5 1 WNW 41  2969   W 31 81012   G
03/01-18 36  0  0 22 45   W 17 28 4 1 WNW 39  2768   W 32 78510   G
03/01-19 35  0  0 20 52   W 18 30 4 1 WNW 38  2567   W 33 75574   G
03/01-20 34  0  0 19 54   W 18 30 3 1 WNW 36  2366   W 36 72203   G
03/01-21 33  0  0 18 56   W 18 30 3 1 WNW 36  2214   W 36 67927   G
03/01-22 31  0  0 18 54   W 18 30 3 1 WNW 35  2063   W 36 63604   G
03/01-23 30  1  0 17 56   W 18 30 3 1 WNW 35  1912   W 36 59235  F
03/02-00 29  1  0 17 56   W 18 30 3 1 WNW 36  1886   W 35 56112  F
03/02-01 29  1  0 16 61   W 17 28 3 1 WNW 38  1860   W 33 53053  F
03/02-02 28  1  0 16 61   W 16 25 3 1 WNW 39  1834   W 31 50058  F
03/02-03 27  1  0 15 64   W 16 25 3 1 WNW 39  1819   W 31 48430  F
03/02-04 26  1  0 15 64   W 15 24 2 1 WNW 39  1804   W 30 46821  F
03/02-05 25  0  0 15 64   W 14 22 2 1 WNW 39  1790   W 29 45232  F
03/02-06 26  0  0 14 67   W 13 21 2 1 WNW 41  1859   W 29 45679  F
03/02-07 28  0  0 14 67   W 13 21 2 1 WNW 45  1927   W 28 46032  F
03/02-08 29  0  0 16 61   W 12 18 2 1 WNW 47  1996   W 26 46288  F
03/02-09 30  0  0 19 56   W 10 16 2 1 WNW 49  2532   W 26 58950  F
03/02-10 31  0  0 23 50   W  9 15 2 1  NW 53  3068   W 26 71712   G
03/02-11 32  0  0 26 46   W  9 15 2 1  NW 55  3604   W 26 84574   G
03/02-12 32  0  0 29 42   W  9 15 2 1  NW 54  4225 WNW 26 95959   G
03/02-13 32  0  0 30 43   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 52  4846 WNW 25106404    V
03/02-14 32  0  0 31 43   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 51  5468 WNW 24115909    V
03/02-15 33  0  0 31 43   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 51  5072 WNW 24105701    V
03/02-16 33  0  0 30 43   W  8 13 2 1  NW 52  4676   W 23 95775   G
03/02-17 33  0  0 28 44   W  8 13 2 1  NW 52  4280   W 23 86133   G
03/02-18 32  0  0 26 46   W  9 15 2 1  NW 52  3541   W 23 70627   G
03/02-19 31  0  0 23 52   W 10 16 2 1 WNW 52  2803   W 23 55390  F
03/02-20 30  0  0 21 54   W 10 16 2 1 WNW 52  2064   W 23 40421  F
03/02-21 29  0  0 19 59   W 10 16 2 1 WNW 53  1915   W 23 38444 P
03/02-22 28  0  0 18 59   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 55  1766   W 24 36320 P
03/02-23 27  0  0 18 59 WSW  9 15 3 1 WNW 56  1616   W 24 34048 P
03/03-00 28  0  0 18 59   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 55  1535   W 23 31051 P
03/03-01 28  0  0 18 59   W 10 16 3 1 WNW 53  1453   W 22 28190 P
03/03-02 29  0  0 18 59   W 12 18 3 1 WNW 52  1371   W 22 25464 P
03/03-03 30  0  0 18 59   W 12 18 3 1 WNW 54  1351   W 22 26310 P
03/03-04 31  0  0 18 56   W 13 21 4 1 WNW 56  1330   W 23 27118 P
03/03-05 31  0  0 18 56   W 13 21 4 1 WNW 59  1309   W 24 27888 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...COOPER
REQUESTED BY...Justin Humrichouse
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1703021.0/BOU


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