Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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584
FNUS75 KBOU 191227
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST DEER MOUNTAIN...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
525 AM MST THU JAN 19 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON JANUARY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TODAY AND TONIGHT...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL
MOVE ACROSS COLORADO TONIGHT. EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS BY AFTERNOON
AND AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL SPREAD OVER THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING
AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. LIGHT ACCUMLATIONS UP TO 2
INCHES POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY
ALONG WITH DRY CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1500, THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MIN HUMIDITY........34%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500, THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 2000, THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 2000 UNTIL
                    2200, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
MAX HUMIDITY........71%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH UNTIL
                    EARLY MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MIN HUMIDITY........53%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100, THEN
                    GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WEST DEER MOUNTAIN.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

01/19-08 11  0  0 19 59   W 14 22 5 1  NW 16  1135   W 17 16864 P
01/19-09 15  0  0 23 53   W 13 21 5 1  NW 14  1271   W 16 18111 P
01/19-10 18  0  0 29 45   W 13 20 5 1 WNW 12  1408   W 16 19190 P
01/19-11 21  0  0 35 38   W 12 18 5 1 WNW 10  1545   W 15 20100 P
01/19-12 24  0  0 39 34   W 12 18 5 1   W  8  1788   W 17 26139 P
01/19-13 26  1  0 40 34   W 12 18 4 1 WSW  7  2031   W 18 32961 P
01/19-14 29  1  0 40 34   W 12 18 4 1  SW  6  2274   W 21 40564  F
01/19-15 31  1  0 38 37   W 12 18 3 1 SSW  9  2140   W 21 38530 P
01/19-16 34  1  0 36 39   W 12 18 3 1 SSW 13  2005   W 21 36448 P
01/19-17 36  4  1 33 43   W 12 18 2 1   S 16  1870 WSW 21 34320 P
01/19-18 45  7  1 31 47   W 12 20 2 1   S 18  1834 WSW 22 35163 P
01/19-19 53  9  2 28 54   W 13 20 2 1   S 21  1798 WSW 23 35947 P
01/19-20 62 12  2 27 58   W 13 21 2 1   S 23  1763 WSW 24 36673 P
01/19-21 70 19  4 26 60   W 13 20 2 1   S 21  1740   W 23 35330 P
01/19-22 79 25  5 25 62   W 13 20 2 1   S 17  1717   W 23 34010 P
01/19-23 87 32 11 25 63   W 12 18 2 1   S 15  1694   W 22 32713 P
01/20-00 87 38 16 26 61   W 10 17 2 1   S 15  1864   W 21 33476 P
01/20-01 87 43 20 26 61   W  9 15 2 1   S 15  2035   W 20 33773 P
01/20-02 86 49 25 27 60   W  8 13 2 1 SSW 14  2206   W 17 33604 P
01/20-03 86 49 25 27 62   W  7  7 2 1 SSW 13  2133   W 16 29731 P
01/20-04 86 49 25 26 66   W  7  7 3 1 SSW 12  2060   W 15 26046 P
01/20-05 81 47 23 25 68   W  6  6 3 1 SSW 12  1988   W 13 22549 P
01/20-06 82 47 23 26 68   W  6  6 3 1  SW 10  1971   W 13 22131 P
01/20-07 83 47 23 25 71   W  6  6 3 1   W  9  1954   W 13 21717 P
01/20-08 85 47 23 25 71   W  6  6 3 1   W  8  1937   W 13 20950 P
01/20-09 86 47 23 27 67   W  6  6 3 1   W  8  2749   W 14 33460 P
01/20-10 87 47 23 29 62   W  7  7 3 1   W  8  3560   W 16 48175  F
01/20-11 88 43 20 30 61   W  7  7 3 1   W  8  4372   W 17 65094   G
01/20-12 85 43 20 32 56   W  7  7 3 1   W 14  4942   W 17 72266   G
01/20-13 83 43 20 32 55   W  8 13 3 1   W 21  5513   W 16 79133   G
01/20-14 80 43 20 32 53   W  8 13 3 1   W 28  6083   W 16 85694   G
01/20-15 77 43 20 31 54   W  8 13 3 1   W 28  5391   W 16 73517   G
01/20-16 74 43 20 30 55   W  8 13 3 1   W 29  4699   W 15 61962   G
01/20-17 71 15  3 29 55   W  8 13 3 1   W 29  4006   W 15 51031  F
01/20-18 66 15  3 28 56   W  8 13 3 1   W 26  3484   W 14 43305  F
01/20-19 61 15  3 27 57   W  8 13 2 1 WSW 24  2962   W 14 35901 P
01/20-20 56 15  3 26 57   W  8 13 2 1 WSW 22  2439   W 14 28818 P
01/20-21 51 15  3 24 61   W  8 13 2 1 WSW 22  2240   W 14 26792 P
01/20-22 47 15  3 23 62   W  8 13 3 1  SW 23  2042   W 14 24709 P
01/20-23 42  4  1 22 62   W  8 13 3 1  SW 23  1843   W 14 22569 P
01/21-00 43  4  1 21 62   W  8 13 3 1  SW 22  1763   W 13 19962 P
01/21-01 45  4  1 21 59   W  8 13 3 1  SW 22  1684   W 12 17503 P
01/21-02 46  4  1 21 57   W  8 13 3 1  SW 21  1604   W 10 15192 P
01/21-03 48  4  1 21 56   W  8 13 3 1  SW 17  1659   W 12 16063 P
01/21-04 50  4  1 21 56   W  7  7 3 1  SW 14  1714   W 12 16957 P
01/21-05 51  5  1 21 57   W  7  7 3 1  SW 10  1769   W 12 17874 P
01/21-06 55  5  1 20 58   W  7  7 3 1  SW  9  1657   W 10 14759 P
01/21-07 60  5  1 19 60   W  7  7 3 1 WSW  7  1544   W  9 11913 P
01/21-08 64  5  1 20 59   W  7  7 3 1   W  6  1432   W  8  9336 P
01/21-09 68  5  1 22 59   W  6  6 3 1   W  8  2334   W  7 15068 P
01/21-10 72  5  1 26 55 WSW  6  6 3 1   W 12  3236   W  7 20685 P
01/21-11 76 33 12 29 53 WSW  5  5 3 1   W 14  4138   W  7 26188 P
01/21-12 78 33 12 31 50   W  5  5 3 1   W 16  4845   W  8 35845 P
01/21-13 80 33 12 32 49   W  5  5 3 1   W 20  5552   W  9 47014  F
01/21-14 81 33 12 32 49   W  5  5 3 1   W 22  6260   W 12 59696  F
01/21-15 83 33 12 31 52   W  5  5 3 1   W 23  5283   W 10 50096  F
01/21-16 84 33 12 30 55 WNW  5  5 3 1   W 25  4307 WNW 10 40603  F
01/21-17 86 29  8 28 60 WNW  5  5 3 1   W 26  3330 WNW 10 31216 P
01/21-18 83 29  8 27 61 WNW  6  6 3 1   W 26  3167 WNW 13 35766 P
01/21-19 80 29  8 25 63 WNW  7  7 3 1   W 26  3004 WNW 15 39690 P
01/21-20 78 29  8 24 62   W  8 13 3 1   W 28  2841 WNW 17 42986  F
01/21-21 75 29  8 22 66   W  9 14 3 1   W 29  2617 WNW 21 46211  F
01/21-22 72 29  8 21 67   W  9 15 4 1   W 30  2392   W 23 48301  F
01/21-23 70 19  4 20 68   W 10 16 4 1   W 31  2168   W 26 49258  F
01/22-00 65 19  4 20 65   W 12 18 4 1   W 32  2306   W 29 56912  F
01/22-01 61 19  4 21 61   W 12 20 3 1 WNW 33  2444   W 31 65108   G
01/22-02 57 19  4 21 59   W 13 21 3 1 WNW 35  2582   W 33 73845   G
01/22-03 53 19  4 21 59   W 13 21 3 1 WNW 38  2600   W 33 75708   G
01/22-04 48 19  4 21 59   W 13 21 3 1 WNW 40  2618 WNW 35 77589   G
01/22-05 44  2  0 20 62   W 13 21 3 1 WNW 43  2636 WNW 35 79490   G

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...ENTREKIN
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN FAITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700486.1/BOU



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