Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 051154
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR LORY STATE PARK...CDFPC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
445 AM MST THU MAR 5 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1805 MST ON MARCH 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE COMBINATION OF WARMING ALOFT...COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE...AND
SNOW COVER WILL MAINTAIN AN INVERSION TODAY. IN ADDITION...SURFACE WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT. WHILE THERE WILL BE SOME IMPROVEMENT THIS AFTERNOON...SMOKE DISPERSAL
WILL REMAIN POOR. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AS MIXING WILL BE
LIMITED AND WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL IS LIKELY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...THEN A LITTLE MORE MIXING AND WIND ARE EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR
SOME IMPROVEMENT...THOUGH IT WILL LIKELY STILL BE STABLE IN THE MORNINGS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-38.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 0-5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY
                    4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 1000 AND 2000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-20.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY POOR.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-47.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH BY 1100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 0900 AND 3000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LORY STATE PARK.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

03/05-04  9  1  0 11 64 WNW  9  9 4 1 NNW 37   783   W 13  8668 P
03/05-05 10  0  0 11 64   W 12 12 4 1 NNW 35   764   W 14  9137 P
03/05-06 12  0  0 12 57   W 13 18 4 1  NW 32   780   W 15  9801 P
03/05-07 13  0  0 12 53   W 14 20 4 1  NW 30   796   W 15 10464 P
03/05-08 19  0  0 17 42 WSW 14 20 4 1  NW 29   812   W 16 11127 P
03/05-09 26  0  0 20 44 WSW 12 12 4 1  NW 26   972   W 13  9866 P
03/05-10 28  0  0 24 49 WSW  8  8 4 1  NW 24  1132   W  9  8604 P
03/05-11 37  0  0 28 53 WSW  6  6 4 1  NW 22  1292 WSW  7  7342 P
03/05-12 44  0  0 32 50 WSW  6  6 4 1  NW 25  1657   W  8 12869 P
03/05-13 45  0  0 35 47 WSW  6  6 3 1  NW 29  2023   W 10 18396 P
03/05-14 52  0  0 36 46 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 32  2389   W 12 23922 P
03/05-15 44  0  0 36 46 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 35  2112   W 12 20634 P
03/05-16 40  0  0 34 49  SW  6  6 4 1  NW 36  1835   W 10 17345 P
03/05-17 33  0  0 33 49  SW  6  6 4 1  NW 37  1557   W 10 14056 P
03/05-18 33  0  0 29 55 WSW  6  6 4 1  NW 36  1316   W 10 12265 P
03/05-19 33  0  0 26 58 WSW  7  7 4 1  NW 35  1075   W 12 10474 P
03/05-20 33  0  0 22 65   W  7  7 4 1  NW 33   834   W 12  8683 P
03/05-21 33  0  0 21 64   W  7  7 4 1  NW 30   814   W 13  8875 P
03/05-22 33  0  0 20 64   W  7  7 4 1  NW 28   794   W 13  9068 P
03/05-23 25  0  0 20 62   W  7  7 4 1  NW 25   774   W 14  9260 P
03/06-00 25  0  0 19 64   W  7  7 4 1  NW 25   779   W 14  9173 P
03/06-01 25  0  0 19 64   W  6  6 4 1  NW 25   785   W 14  9086 P
03/06-02 25  0  0 18 67   W  6  6 4 1  NW 25   790   W 13  8999 P
03/06-03 25  0  0 18 68   W  6  6 4 1  NW 26   770   W 13  8797 P
03/06-04 25  0  0 17 72   W  6  6 5 1  NW 26   751   W 13  8595 P
03/06-05 15  0  0 17 74   W  6  6 5 1 WNW 26   731   W 13  8394 P
03/06-06 15  0  0 17 76   W  6  6 5 1  NW 25  1031   W 12  9398 P
03/06-07 15  0  0 19 73   W  7  7 4 1  NW 25  1331   W 10 10402 P
03/06-08 15  0  0 22 68   W  7  7 4 1  NW 24  1631   W  9 11406 P
03/06-09 15  0  0 28 58   W  7  7 3 1  NW 24  1898   W  8 12711 P
03/06-10 15  0  0 35 51   W  6  6 3 1  NW 23  2165   W  8 14016 P
03/06-11 23  0  0 40 44 WSW  6  6 3 1  NW 23  2433   W  7 15321 P
03/06-12 23  0  0 44 41 WSW  6  6 3 1  NW 23  2431   W  7 14588 P
03/06-13 23  0  0 45 41  SW  6  6 3 1  NW 24  2429   W  7 13856 P
03/06-14 23  0  0 45 42  SW  6  6 3 1  NW 24  2427   W  6 13124 P
03/06-15 23  0  0 45 43  SW  6  6 2 1  NW 24  2426   W  6 12391 P
03/06-16 23  0  0 43 44  SW  5  5 2 1  NW 25  2424   W  6 11659 P
03/06-17 32  0  0 41 46  SW  5  5 2 1  NW 25  2422   W  6 10926 P
03/06-18 32  0  0 37 53 WSW  5  5 2 1  NW 25  2203   W  6 10011 P
03/06-19 32  0  0 33 59   W  6  6 2 1  NW 24  1984   W  6  9096 P
03/06-20 32  0  0 30 63 WNW  6  6 2 1  NW 23  1765   W  6  8181 P
03/06-21 32  0  0 28 63   W  6  6 2 1  NW 23  1546 WSW  6  7266 P
03/06-22 32  0  0 28 57   W  7  7 2 1  NW 22  1327 WSW  6  6351 P
03/06-23 33  0  0 27 55   W  7  7 2 1 WNW 21  1107 WSW  6  5435 P
03/07-00 33  0  0 27 53   W  7  7 2 1 WNW 21  1119 WSW  6  5142 P
03/07-01 33  0  0 26 55   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 22  1131   W  5  4849 P
03/07-02 33  0  0 25 57 WNW  6  6 2 1 WNW 22  1143   W  5  4555 P
03/07-03 33  0  0 24 59   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 22  1154   W  5  4262 P
03/07-04 33  0  0 23 61   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 22  1166   W  3  3968 P
03/07-05 44  0  0 23 62   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 23  1178   W  3  3675 P
03/07-06 44  0  0 24 64   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 22  1592   W  5  6714 P
03/07-07 44  0  0 25 67   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 21  2007 WSW  5  9753 P
03/07-08 44  0  0 28 66   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 20  2422  SW  6 12792 P
03/07-09 44  0  0 33 58 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 18  2836 SSW  6 15831 P
03/07-10 44  0  0 38 51 SSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 18  3251   S  7 18870 P
03/07-11 41  0  0 43 45   S  5  5 2 1 WNW 17  3665   S  7 21909 P
03/07-12 41  0  0 45 44   S  5  5 2 1 WNW 18  3470   S  7 20078 P
03/07-13 41  0  0 46 44   S  5  5 2 1 WNW 18  3276   S  6 18247 P
03/07-14 41  0  0 46 45   S  5  5 2 1 WNW 20  3081   S  6 16417 P
03/07-15 41  0  0 45 47 SSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 21  2886   S  6 14586 P
03/07-16 41  0  0 43 50 SSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 22  2691   S  6 12755 P
03/07-17 41  0  0 41 53 SSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 23  2497   S  5 10925 P
03/07-18 41  0  0 38 58  SW  5  5 2 1 WNW 23  2253   S  6 10268 P
03/07-19 41  0  0 35 64   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 23  2010 SSW  6  9611 P
03/07-20 41  0  0 32 69   W  6  6 3 1  NW 23  1767  SW  7  8954 P
03/07-21 41  0  0 30 69   W  6  6 3 1  NW 23  1523 WSW  7  8297 P
03/07-22 41  0  0 30 63   W  7  7 3 1  NW 23  1280   W  7  7640 P
03/07-23 34  0  0 29 60   W  7  7 3 1  NW 23  1036   W  8  6983 P
03/08-00 34  0  0 28 61 WNW  7  7 3 1  NW 24  1104   W  8  7259 P
03/08-01 34  0  0 28 60 WNW  7  7 3 1  NW 24  1173 WNW  7  7535 P
03/08-02 34  0  0 27 63 WNW  7  7 3 1  NW 24  1241 WNW  7  7810 P
03/08-03 34  0  0 26 67 WNW  7  7 3 1 WNW 24  1309 WNW  7  8086 P
03/08-04 34  0  0 26 69 WNW  6  6 3 1 WNW 25  1377 WNW  7  8362 P
03/08-05 33  1  0 26 71 WNW  6  6 3 1 WNW 25  1445 WNW  7  8638 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD
REQUESTED BY...ENGINE CAPTAIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150304.LORYS.01/BOU


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