Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Cheyenne, WY

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000
FNUS75 KCYS 031339
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE BEAVER...CASPER DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
739 AM MDT MON AUG 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0719 MDT ON AUGUST 03.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TODAY WILL BE COOLER...WITH DAYTIME HUMIDITIES
10 TO 20 PERCENT HIGHER COMPARED TO SUNDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO SHIFT INTO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY BEHIND
A SURFACE COLD FRONT...BUT WILL BE RATHER LIGHT. HOWEVER...ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN THE AREA.

FOR TUESDAY...THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. THE TIMING
AND TRACK OF THIS DISTURBANCE WILL GREATLY IMPACT WEATHER
CONDITIONS...WIND DIRECTION...AND CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70 TO 75 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 TO 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO VERY GOOD (48800-112400 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 TO 95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH AND GUSTY.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (18900 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 TO 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT (105500-222900 KNOT-FT).

$$

REQUESTED BY...ROB NEIBAUER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150803.LITTL.01/CYS



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