Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 191316
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHIMON MARSH...IA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
816 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE
REQUIRED...PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR
EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN TODAY AND PROVIDE
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH LIGHT SOUTH WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 16 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (800-17500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (109000-124200 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........49  50  51  48  51
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............68  68  69  69  69
RH..............43  41  39  37  37
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..14  14  14  14  14
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  20
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...8.9 8.6 8.3 8.0 7.8
MIXNG WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S
MIXNG WIND SPD..16  16  16  16  16
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 6 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (57400-107000 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (1100-28600 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........56     40     51     39     30     37
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............69     65     59     56     54     50
RH..............37     46     61     65     69     80
20 FT WIND......S 13   SSE 10 SSE 8  SSE 8  SSE 8  SSE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 9    SSE 7  SSE 6  SSE 6  SSE 6  SSE 5
EYE LVL WND GST.15     15     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....7600   5000   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......S 16   SSE 14 SSE 10 SSE 9  SSE 7  SE 6
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.
RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1000-17600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    POOR TO EXCELLENT (0-91500 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........51        65        71        75
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............49        61        69        71
RH..............83        59        48        44
20 FT WIND......SE 8G10   SSE 10G15 SSE 13G15 SSE 13G15
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 6G10   SSE 7G15  SSE 9G15  SSE 9G15
MIX HGT (FT)....300       3800      6600      7100
MIXNG WIND......M         M         M         M
HAINES INDEX....M         M         M         M

$$
FORECASTER...PODRAZIK
REQUESTED BY...JEFF FEISEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160519.SHIMO.02/DMX


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