Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS73 KDTX 281844
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for Verona Unit 4...MDNR
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
244 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 EDT on April 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Drier weather and modest southerly winds are expected
today before a round of light showers develop this evening and
overnight, mainly affecting areas south of M-59. A wet weather
pattern will persist through the weekend, with periods of steadier
rainfall expected through Monday. The heaviest rain looks to fall
late Saturday through Monday afternoon, with rainfall totals during
this period looking to range between one and a half and three inches.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Isolated showers
                    early in the evening...then scattered showers
                    early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds 6 to 11 mph becoming north 7 to 12
                    mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......3200-4900 ft AGL decreasing to 200-2100 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 17 to 24 mph decreasing to 13 to 14
                    mph late in the evening...then becoming west
                    around 15 mph after midnight becoming north
                    after midnight increasing to 23 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to excellent (0-100000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)..........75  77  84  87  90  94  93  93  92  90  87  85
Weather cov......ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
Weather type.....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov.........
Temp.............61  60  59  57  55  53  52  52  51  48  45  43
RH...............53  56  60  64  69  75  77  79  80  81  82  82
Eye lvl wnd dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd..8   6   5   4   4   4   5   7   8   8   7   7
Eye lvl wnd gst..20  15  10  10          10  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)....4.9 4.1 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2
Transp wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd..24  22  21  17  14  13  15  20  23  24  25  24
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   3   3   2
VRate kt-ft/1000.100 80  60  30  10  0   0   10  10  20  20  30

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers.
Max temperature.....42-47.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%)..........83     73     70     69     69     79
Weather cov......ISOLTD S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov.........
Temp.............42     41     43     45     45     45
RH...............83     81     73     66     65     67
Eye level wind...N 7    N 8    N 9    N 10   N 10   NE 9
Eye lvl wnd gst..15     15                   20     20

$$
Forecaster...Schultz
Requested by...Don Klingler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707973.0/DTX
.EMAIL klinglerd@michigan.gov



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