Suppression Forecast Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
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FNUS73 KEAX 131303
FWSEAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR G2...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
803 AM CDT MON MAY 13 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...
MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL GREET THE FIRST TWO DAYS OF THIS WEEK
WITH TUESDAY POSSIBLY REACHING RECORD HIGH READINGS. GOOD MIXING ON
TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE DRYING TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS AROUND 30 PERCENT. THIS COMBINED WITH 10
HOUR FUEL VALUES AROUND 9 PERCENT AND GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL
INCREASE THE FIRE DANGER THREAT CONSIDERABLY.
THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND THE PROXIMITY OF A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
MAINTAIN THAT THREAT THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4300-4500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 15 TO
20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........35 31 29
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TEMP............69 72 74
RH..............46 42 40
20 FT WIND......S 10 S 10 S 10
20 FT WIND GUST. 15 15
HAINES INDEX....4 4 5
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 83 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.
TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM
SKY (%).........29 24 19 16 12 8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TEMP............72 66 63 62 60 59
RH..............45 56 63 69 74 80
20 FT WIND......S 10 S 9 S 8 S 8 S 7 SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10
HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 4
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 32 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
AROUND 21 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........4 4 5 5 7 11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TEMP............58 69 78 85 89 89
RH..............87 60 45 36 33 34
20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 8 SW 10 SW 13 SW 14 SW 15
20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 15 20 20
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 5
$$
FORECASTER...JULY
REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130513.G2___.01/EAX