Suppression Forecast
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FNUS74 KEPZ 262002
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Seven Cabins...Alamogordo Dispatch
National Weather Service Santa Teresa NM/El Paso TX
102 PM MST Sun Feb 26 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1300 MST on February 26.

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the El Paso
National Weather Service Forecast Office.

.DISCUSSION...
Windy and drier weather across the the region today with min RHs
in the 20s to 30s. Winds will begin to get stronger throughout the
afternoon and evening hours. 20 foot winds will be between 15 and
20 mph with 20 foot gusts as high as 35 mph. Vent rates today
will be excellent today and very good tomorrow. Fire danger
remains very high.


&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 FT)........West winds 12 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph
                    early in the evening.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL after
                    midnight.
Transport winds.....West around 25 knots decreasing to around 10
                    knots after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (155000 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (5000 knot-ft) after midnight.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).........42     42     42     27     27     27
WEATHER COV.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
TEMP............53     45     42     41     41     39
RH..............23     32     37     42     42     46
20 FT WIND......W 14   W 11   W 10   W 10   W 11   W 11
20 FT WIND GUST.30     25     20     25     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....6200   6200   6200   500    500    500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 25   W 25   W 25   W 10   W 10   W 10
HAINES INDEX....3      2      2      2      2      2
VENT RATE.......Excl   Excl   Excl   Poor   Poor   Poor

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 FT)........West winds 15 to 24 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph
                    increasing to 40 mph late in the morning.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 25 knots.
Smoke dispersal.....Very Good (117500 knot-ft) increasing to very good                    (131200 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........21     21     21     20     20     20
WEATHER COV.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
TEMP............36     35     41     48     53     55
RH..............50     49     36     26     22     22
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 14   W 14   SW 16  W 18   W 19
20 FT WIND GUST.25     30     30     35     40     40
MIX HGT (FT)....2700   2700   2700   4700   4700   4700
TRANSPORT WIND..W 21   W 21   W 21   W 28   W 28   W 28
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      2      2
VENT RATE.......Fair   Fair   Fair   Vrygd  Vrygd  Vrygd

$$
Forecaster...PAZOS
Requested by...David Sosa
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1702936.0/EPZ
.EMAIL nmadc@fs.fed.us



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