Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 291923
FWSEPZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ESCONDIDO...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
123 PM MDT FRI JUL 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1335 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS WHICH A VERY GOOD CHANCE OF WETTING
RAINFALL.  THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP INTO AN ORGANIZED COMPLEX
BUT LIKELY SOUTH OF THE FIRE LOCATION. STEADY SOUTHERLY WINDS
FROM OUTFLOW SHOULD DEVELOP THIS EVENING BUT WINDS MAY BECOME
MORE VARIABLE TOWARDS DAWN.  EXPECT ANOTHER GOOD CHANCE OF
RAINFALL FROM WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN TOMORROW.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3 TO 5 MPH AWAY FROM T-STORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 12,000 FEET AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 10300 FT AGL BY LATE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 KNOTS.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (72,000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 3 TO 5 MPH TOWARDS DAWN.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) WITH NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 13500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 KNOTS.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (67,500 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...JOSH JOHNSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160729.ESCON.01/EPZ



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