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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 281726 CCA
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Luna Piles RX...CORRECTED
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
Issued by National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1126 AM MDT Thu Mar 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 MDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Temperatures warm this afternoon to 7-15 degrees warmer than
yesterday with RH falling to around 25 percent. Winds will be
light (10-15 mph) out of the SW. Deep mixing will promote Good
ventilation rates this afternoon. Similar RH values on Friday with
20-ft winds gusting to near 30mph out of the SW in the afternoon.
Excellent ventilation rates from mid-morning onward.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 13 mph.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (90800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      5PM
Sky (%).........45
Weather cov.....NONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0
LAL.............1
Temp............57
RH..............M
20 FT wind dir..SW
20 FT wind spd..13
20 FT wind gust.23
Mix hgt (kft)...5.2
Transp wind dir.SW
Transp wind spd.26
Haines index....2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..91
Ventrate Cat....GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 31.
Max humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    early in the evening.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (72200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (6100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........62  62  62  69  69  69  34  34  34  20  20  20
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............54  49  45  43  41  39  37  36  35  34  33  32
RH..............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.21  21  21  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.16  16  16  16  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   2   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..72  72  72  72  6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Ventrate Cat....GD  GD  GD  GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    around 29 mph increasing to around 18 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 14 mph increasing to 30 to 32
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24200 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
                    (158800 knot-ft) in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  16  16  9   9   9   8   8   8   5   5   5
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............31  31  34  39  44  49  52  55  57  58  59  58
RH..............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   12  12  12  18  18  18  18  18  18
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  29  29  29  33  33  33  32  32  32
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.14  14  14  14  30  30  30  30  32  32  32  32
Haines index....3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..24  24  24  24  159 159 159 159 173 173 173 173
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Southwest winds around 14 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of snow
showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. South winds
around 19 mph.
.MONDAY...
Showers and snow showers likely. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid
40s. Southwest winds around 11 mph.

$$
Forecaster...GUEST
Requested by...Dustin Roper
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408657.1/EPZ
.DELDT 03/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dustin.roper@usda.gov


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