Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FNUS74 KEWX 111500
FWSEWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REIMERS RANCH-OBSERVATORY-BLOCK B...TRAVIS COUNTY PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
900 AM CST WED JAN 11 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON JANUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.
WIND GUSTS WILL DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET. MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE
MID 50S THIS AFTERNOON. WEAKER SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........78  79  63  52  50  49  47  47  46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............65  66  70  73  76  77  78  78  77
RH..............81  78  71  64  58  56  54  54  54
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..11  12  13  14  14  14  13  12  10
20 FT WIND GUST.20  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  20
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.7   7   8   8   8   8   8   7   6
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  20  25  25  25  20  20  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.23  25  25  26  26  26  26  25  25
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........46  52  59  65  66  67  68  72  76  80  80  79
WEATHER COV.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............75  70  68  66  64  64  63  63  63  63  63  63
RH..............62  68  73  81  90  90  97  100 100 100 100 97
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   4   3
20 FT WIND GUST.15  10  10                              5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.15  10  10                              5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.0 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.24  23  22  21  20  18  18  18  18  20  21  21
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS.
CWR.................4 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-4600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 2200 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 17 TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........79  79  79  79  78  76  75  75  74  74  76  77
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............63  63  63  64  66  69  72  75  77  77  76  73
RH..............97  97  100 97  90  81  73  66  62  62  64  68
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   4   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5           10  10  15  15  15  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5           10  10  15  15  15  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.3 3.7 3.9 4.3 4.6 3.8 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.22  22  23  23  23  23  23  22  21  20  18  17
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...76
REQUESTED BY...GLEN GILLMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700287.0/EWX
.EMAIL GLEN.GILLMAN@TRAVISCOUNTYTX.GOV



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