Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FNUS74 KEWX 192318
FWSEWX

Spot Forecast for Harmon Rd...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
618 PM CDT Sat Aug 19 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1800 CDT on August 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and dry conditions are generally expected to continue through
Tuesday except for isolated showers and thunderstorms Monday
and Tuesday in the Coastal Plains. Minimum relative humidity
values above 25 percent with southerly winds generally below
15 mph. Fire weather conditions are expected to be the same on
Sunday as they were today with southerly winds 8-15 mph and relative
humidity above 30 percent.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 8 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......6800-8500 ft AGL decreasing to 600-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........13  20  16  13  9   9   8   8   13  18  23  29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............101 99  96  92  89  86  84  83  81  80  78  76
RH..............32  32  38  46  52  59  65  70  77  79  85  90
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   7   7   6   5   5   4   4   3
20 FT wind gust.    10  10  10  10  10              5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.    10  10  10  10  10              5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...8.5 8.2 6.8 4.1 2.8 2.3 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  13  14  14  14  14  13  12  10  8
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 102.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000-2800 ft AGL increasing to 8200-9100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35  42  40  39  38  34  30  26  25  25  24  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............75  75  78  83  87  92  95  98  100 101 102 102
RH..............94  94  88  74  65  54  46  39  34  32  30  29
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   8
20 FT wind gust.        5   5                   10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.        5   5                   10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.2 1.6 2.4 2.8 3.5 5.0 5.7 6.6 8.2 9.1 8.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   9   10  12  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 8 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......6400-8000 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........21  20  16  11  7   7   8   8   18  28  38  41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............101 99  96  92  89  86  83  82  80  79  78  76
RH..............30  33  38  46  54  61  70  72  77  82  85  90
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   6   6   6   6   5   4   4   3   3
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10              5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10              5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...8.0 7.7 6.4 4.0 2.7 2.3 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  15  15  14  14  13  12  10  10  9   9   9
Haines index....4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 101.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1300-3200 ft AGL increasing to 7700-7800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........43  46  47  48  49  48  46  44  43  42  41  41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............75  75  77  81  85  89  93  97  99  101 101 101
RH..............94  94  90  79  70  59  49  40  37  35  35  35
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5                       10
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   5   5   5   5                       10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.6 2.2 3.2 3.7 4.4 5.7 6.4 6.7 7.4 7.8 7.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...10
Requested by...Texas A&M Forest Service
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1714606.0/EWX
.EMAIL shamrick@tfs.tamu.edu


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