Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FNUS75 KGJT 071623
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Baylor Park...Forest Service
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
923 AM MST Thu Dec 7 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MST on December 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Poor smoke dispersal is expected today over the burn location due to
a strong morning inversion. This inversion will have a tough time
mixing out due to cloud cover and some isolated snow showers this
afternoon. Expect light northerly flow through the forecast. Poor smoke
dispersal is once again expected on Friday with another strong morning
inversion setting up in the wake of today`s light snow event.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80%). Isolated snow showers in
                    the afternoon hours above 8500 feet.
Max temperature.....16-21 F.
Min humidity........50-55%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 MPH.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (22000-33000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 very low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80%), then becoming mostly
                    clear (20-30%). Isolated snow showers in the
                    evening.
Min temperature.....11-16 F.
Max humidity........73-78%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 MPH.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11000-24000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 very low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%).
Max temperature.....27-32 F.
Min humidity........37-42%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 MPH, becoming northwest in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14000-26000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 very low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 MPH.

$$
Forecaster...Mike Charnick
Requested by...Dan Nielsen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719702.0/GJT
.EMAIL drnielsen@blm.gov



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