Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 301720
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROAN PLATEAU...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1120 AM MDT THU OCT 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON OCTOBER 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE BURN SITE
ON FRIDAY AS A COLD PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN ON
FRIDAY. SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS FRIDAY AND STRENGTHENS ON SATURDAY AS A
COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO UTAH. SURFACE WINDS MAY NOT COMPLETELY DECOUPLE
FRIDAY NIGHT AS CLOUDS INCREASE TOWARDS SATURDAY MORNING. SATURDAY LOOKS
WINDY WITH SCATTERED GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION. A COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO SUNDAY MORNING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH 8-12 MPH BY 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR BECOMING VERY GOOD BY
                    1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 2000 FT AT 1100...AND 5300 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH AT 1100...INCREASING TO 23 MPH BY
                    1400.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 8-12 MPH DECREASING TO 6 MPH BY 2200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR (17300 KNOT-FT) BY 2200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 MPH DECREASING TO 10 MPH BY 2200.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1000...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-58 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5-10 MPH INCREASING TO 14-17 MPH BY 1200.
                    GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL
                    BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 32 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...RUSTY STARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141031.ROANP.01/GJT



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