Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 302208
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEWELL MESA...CARBONDALE FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
408 PM MDT SAT JUL 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1550 MDT ON JULY 30. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE A STRONG POSSIBILITY
WITH STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND SHOULD BE MONITORED. MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND SHOULD HELP WITH HUMIDITY
RECOVERY BY MORNING. CLOUDS AND BETTER CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION ON
SUNDAY WILL LEAD TO COOLER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND SLIGHTLY
HIGHER HUMIDITY. WETTING RAINS IN THE AREA MORE PROBABLE ON
SUNDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY THIS EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH EARLY THEN DOWNSLOPE/
                    DOWNVALLEY 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR (8900 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST
                    7 TO 12 MPH BY 1200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (36800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (89200
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...DEAN PERKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160730.SEWEL.02/GJT



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