Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FNUS75 KGJT 230010
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Native Springs Fire...CRFR Rifle
National Weather Service GRAND JUNCTION CO
610 PM MDT Thu Jun 22 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1800 MDT on June 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Gusty outflow winds will continue to diminish early
this evening as the showers and thunderstorms responsible continue
to shift to the east. Thereafter, cooling will bring a light
downvalley flow to the fire. Sunny and a bit cooler weather
expected Friday with less wind.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Breezy through 7 PM.
Min temperature.....Around 50 to 55.
Max humidity........50 to 55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 10 to 15 with gusts to 25 MPH through 7
                    PM, decreasing to 5 to 10 MPH by 8 PM, then
                    becoming downslope/downvalley 2 to 4 MPH by
                    midnight. There is a low probability that showers
                    upvalley this evening could bring an east wind of
                    10 to 15 MPH late this evening.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Lowering to 2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 25 MPH through 8 PM, then decreasing
                    to around 5 MPH by midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Becoming poor after midnight (5000-10000 knot-ft).

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 85 to 90.
Min humidity........10 to 15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downvalley 3 to 5 MPH through 0900, then becoming
                    northwest 8 to 13 MPH in the afternoon with
                    occasional gusts to 20 MPH.
Haines Index........4 low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1700-2400 ft AGL, increasing to 7700-9100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West at 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Becoming excellent around 1400.

$$

Forecaster...Norv Larson
Requested by...BT40
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1711450.0/GJT


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