Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL

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000
FNUS74 KHUN 252148
FWSHUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLAT MTN. FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
448 PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY HOT CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY COOL THIS EVENING...WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING. SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT
AND VARIABLE...AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS CLIMB INTO THE 50 TO 60
PERCENT RANGE EARLY THIS EVENING. A COLD FRONT IS STILL EXPECTED TO
MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA EARLY MONDAY...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. LINGERING
RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY TAPER OFF FROM THE WEST HEADING INTO THE LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS. NO SIGNIFICANT FOG ISSUES ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 2 MPH LATE.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............88     82     77     73     71     70
RH..............40     51     62     71     76     78
20 FT WIND DIR..030    030    040    100    140    170
20 FT WIND SPD..3      2      1      2      2      2
20 FT WIND GUST.5
MIX HGT (FT)....5000   400    200    100    100    100
TRANSPORT WIND..N 6    N 5    N 3    N 2    NE 2   SE 2
DISPERSION IDX..33     2      1      1      1      1
CWR.............10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 7600-9300
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    8500-10300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 6200 FT AGL
                    LATE...DECREASING TO 2900-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 13 TO 15 MPH
                    LATE.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............68  68  71  74  78  80  83  84  85  86  86  84
RH..............84  84  79  74  64  60  53  49  48  46  46  49
20 FT WIND DIR..180 180 200 230 250 270 310 330 340 350 350 350
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   3   3   3   3   5   5   6   7   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.        5   5   5   5           10  10  15  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 2.3 5.1 7.6 9.3 10  10  8.5 6.2 4.0 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.150 160 180 220 240 250 260 260 290 340 000 000
TRANSP WIND SPD.3   5   7   9   10  9   8   8   10  13  15  15
DISPERSION IDX..2   2   3   4   5   84  77  77  89  42  41  35
CWR.............10  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30

$$

FORECASTER...GRIFFIN
REQUESTED BY...CLARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1600988.3/HUN
.EMAIL KERRYCLARK@FS.FED.US



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