Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 291152
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR NOBLES RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
752 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (305) 229-4522, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

...DISPERSION BELOW 20 POSSIBLE TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
WARM FRIDAY EXPECTED WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BY
THE AFTERNOON. LOW DISPERSION INDEX VALUES ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND
TONIGHT OVER MUCH OF SOUTH FLORIDA. THE GULF SEA BREEZE LIKELY
WILL NOT REACH THE BURN SITE BUT WIND VARIABILITY CAN BE EXPECTED
AROUND SHOWERS AND STORMS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200-5000 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7...INCREASING TO 16 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........35  35  35  43  43  43  61  61  61  71  71  71
WEATHER COV.....                        LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........                        LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
TEMP............83  86  90  93  94  94  95  92  90  88  88  86
RH..............82  75  64  58  54  54  51  56  62  66  66  72
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  S   SW  S   SW  W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT WIND DIR..150 200 210 190 240 250 210 220 240 250 250 250
20 FT WIND SPD..1   2   2   2   2   2   1   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.    5   5   5   5   5       5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.8 2.9 4.0 4.3 4.6 5.0 4.4 3.8 3.2 2.2 1.3
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
MIXNG WIND SPD..3   3   5   5   3   3   2   5   6   6   5   3
DISPERSION IDX..4   10  16  20  19  17  12  16  19  20  14  7
LVORI...........5   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  70  70  70  70  70  70
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 1 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 0 TO 2
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....11...DECREASING TO 1 UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............6.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-4300 FT
                    AGL EARLY.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5...INCREASING TO 15 EARLY.
LVORI...............6.

$$
FORECASTER...GARCIA
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN TURNBO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1600121.0/MFL



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