Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 220907
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for COW BELL FIRE...COWBELL FIRE PLANS
National Weather Service Miami FL
507 AM EDT Mon May 22 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0600 EDT on May 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
The weather will remain dry this morning, before a slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. The winds will remain light
and variable before becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
The relative humidity will be around 40 percent for couple of hours
this afternoon. No fog is expected at this time over the wildfire area.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). A slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400,...then 2 until 1700,...then 3.
Mixing height.......300-1500 ft AGL...increasing to 5200-5800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 0 mph...becoming south 2 to 10 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....2...increasing to 17,...then increasing to 37
                    early...increasing to 43 early in the
                    afternoon...decreasing to 35.
LVORI...............5.
Ceiling (kft).......25000...decreasing to 5000.

Time (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........51  51  51  51  51  37  37  37  57  57  57  66
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH CHC
Temp............68  72  73  81  84  87  89  90  92  91  91  91
RH..............93  84  87  65  58  52  47  45  41  43  44  45
20 ft wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S
20 ft wind dir..020 040 050 060 070 090 110 130 140 140 150 160
20 ft wind spd..0   0   0   1   1   2   2   3   4   4   4   4
20 ft wind gust.                    5   5   5   10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 1.5 2.7 3.9 4.6 5.2 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.2
Mixng wind dir..N   NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
Mixng wind spd..0   0   0   2   5   7   8   7   7   8   9   10
Dispersion idx..0   0   0   4   17  33  40  43  31  34  38  31
LVORI...........8   6   6   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent)...then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). A chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................3 until 2000,...then 2 until 2200,...then 1.
Mixing height.......2500-4300 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-1800 ft
                    AGL in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph...becoming southeast 2 to 3
                    mph around midnight.
Dispersion index....32...decreasing to 4 until just after midnight.
LVORI...............5.
Ceiling (kft).......5000...increasing to 25000.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southwest 5 to 12 mph
                    with gusts up to 20 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......300-1500 ft AGL...increasing to 5000-5600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 8 mph...becoming southwest 13 to
                    16 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....3...increasing to 16 late in the
                    morning,...then increasing to 42...increasing
                    to 64 early...decreasing to 50...increasing to
                    63 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Ceiling (kft).......25000.

$$
Forecaster...Baxter
Requested by...ROCCO SNART
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1707979.16/MFL


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