Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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000
FNUS72 KMHX 211152
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-45...CAMP LEJEUNE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
752 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OFFSHORE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH THE AREA THURSDAY AND CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT NEXT WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............69     61     55     58
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................74     77     78     78
RH..................79     71     69     69
20 FT WIND..........SW 8   S 10   S 11   S 11
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     20     20
LVORI...............3      3      1      1
ADI.................20     45     51     52
HAINES INDEX........3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 9 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............62     65     64     63     62     61
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE                      S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE                      S CHC  S CHC
TEMP................77     74     72     71     70     70
RH..................71     76     84     87     90     90
20 FT WIND..........S 9    S 8    S 7    S 7    S 7    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     10     10     10     10
LVORI...............3      3      4      5      5      5
ADI.................48     35     16     9      8      9
HAINES INDEX........3      3      3      3      3      3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............59     57     57     58     58     57
WEATHER COV.........S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............S CHC
TEMP................69     72     76     78     79     79
RH..................93     87     74     67     64     64
20 FT WIND..........S 6    S 6    S 8    S 9    S 11   S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15     20     25
LVORI...............5      4      3      1      1      1
ADI.................11     13     21     45     55     56
HAINES INDEX........3      3      4      5      4      5

$$
FORECASTER...FREDERICK
REQUESTED BY...KYLE AVESING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130521.C45__.01/MHX






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