Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMLB 230018
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Yankee Lake Rd Fire...Florida Highway Patrol
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
718 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2200 EST on February 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...An area of low pressure will move across the Florida
peninsula overnight with showers likely into late evening and then
a chance of showers into Thursday morning. Low stratus and some
patchy fog may develop late tonight through early Thursday morning
as the low redevelops over the Atlantic waters.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 0100, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....6.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EST)      10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........93  93  93  85  85  85  85  85
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70
LAL.............2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............63  63  63  63  63  63  63  63
RH..............86  87  90  90  90  93  93  93
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   8   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  10  10  7   7
Dispersion idx..7   7   7   7   7   7   5   5
LVORI...........5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to
                    16 mph early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-1700 ft AGL increasing to 2400-3200 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 12 mph increasing to 26 to 30
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 18 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 56 late in the morning increasing
                    to 74 early in the afternoon decreasing to 58.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 5 in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 3 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 1 in the afternoon increasing to 3.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........85  81  81  81  81  81  81  72  72  72  72  72
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).70  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............63  63  65  67  69  72  74  76  75  75  74  72
RH..............96  97  93  87  83  77  70  65  67  67  69  73
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   9   10  13  14  16  17  18  18  16
20 FT wind gust.        10  10      15  15  20  25  25  25  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.4 2.4 2.4 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.5 2.5
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.7   12  12  12  26  26  26  30  30  30  26  26
Dispersion idx..5   15  18  20  56  56  56  74  74  74  58  58
LVORI...........7   7   6   5   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   3

$$
Forecaster...Volkmer
Requested by...Sgt. J. Holmes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702523.1/MLB
.EMAIL jeffreyholmes@flhsmv.gov



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