Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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042
FNUS74 KMOB 111339
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK CPT 390...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
739 AM CST THU FEB 11 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOME WESTERLY AROUND 10 MPH
THIS MORNING.  MAXIMUM EXPECTED WIND GUST IS 17 MPH.  MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY IS 34 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED
LATE TONIGHT WITH VISIBILITIES DOWN TO 2 MILES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 52 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING C IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING B LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........3      3      4      6      8
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............34     49     63     71     73
RH................100    83     52     39     35
20 FT WIND DIR....SW     SW     WSW    WSW    WSW
20 FT WIND SPD....5      7      8      8      5
20 FT WIND GUST...       14     16     16
MIX HGT (FT)......200    2200   4100   4100   2400
MIX HGT (M).......60     670    1250   1250   730
TRANSP WIND DIR...SSW    SW     WSW    WSW    WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...9      13     14     14     10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      6      6      6      4
DISPERSION........3      33     52     52     32
LVORI.............8      3      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      C      C      C      B
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 6.
STABILITY CLASS.....F.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........11     14     16     19     25     28
WEATHER COV.......                     PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG    FOG
TEMP..............67     58     54     51     48     46
RH................45     62     69     74     80     86
20 FT WIND DIR....SW     SSW    SSW    SW     SSW    SSW
20 FT WIND SPD....3      3      2      2      2      3
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......1200   1200   100    100    100    100
MIX HGT (M).......370    370    30     30     30     30
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     SW     SSW    SW     SW     SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...7      7      6      6      6      7
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      3      3      3      3
DISPERSION........3      3      3      3      3      3
LVORI.............2      2      3      4      4      6
STABILITY CLASS...F      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH INCREASING TO
                    WEST-NORTHWEST 14 TO 17 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....1 INCREASING TO 57.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING C EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING B LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........33     42     41     31     34     29
WEATHER COV.......PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............45     49     58     65     69     69
RH................93     89     67     54     45     42
20 FT WIND DIR....SW     WSW    W      W      WNW    WNW
20 FT WIND SPD....3      5      7      8      7      6
20 FT WIND GUST...              14     16     14     13
MIX HGT (FT)......100    100    1700   3300   3300   3200
MIX HGT (M).......30     30     520    1010   1010   980
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    WSW    W      WNW    WNW    WNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...8      8      17     17     17     14
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      8      8      8      6
DISPERSION........1      1      38     58     58     56
LVORI.............8      8      3      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      C      C      B
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...29
REQUESTED BY...RYAN BARNETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160211.CHICK.01/MOB



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