Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FNUS73 KOAX 281234
FWSOAX

Spot Forecast for Santee CRP Rx...BIA
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
734 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Areas of fog will lift early then clouds should increase through the
morning, with cloudy skies in the afternoon. Light northeast winds
in the morning could be variable, and will lead to poor mixing early.
Some increase in wind speeds and mixing should be expected by late
morning.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........41 at ignition...Max 56.
RH..................84 percent at ignition...Min 52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 6 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise East winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL at ignition...increasing to 1900 ft AGL
                    by noon with a max of 3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /900 knot-ft/ at ignition. Increasing to
                    fair to good (19400-50900 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........54     68     84     81     82
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............41     47     52     55     56
RH..............84     69     58     52     53
20 ft wind......SE 6   SE 6   E 7    E 7    E 6
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 1000   2800   4000   2900
Transport wind..SE 15  SE 15  E 12   E 14   E 16
Haines index....4      4      4      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/10001      10     28     49     38

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain early
                    in the evening, then rain likely in the late
                    evening and overnight. Patchy fog after
                    midnight.
Temperature.........Min 40.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Sky (%).........88     92     94     97     97     98
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........
Temp............54     49     46     44     42     41
RH..............57     70     81     90     96     100
20 ft wind......E 6    E 6    E 5    E 5    E 5    E 6
20 ft wind gust.10     10                          10
Mix hgt (ft)....300    100    300    300    300    300
Transport wind..E 16   E 14   E 13   E 12   E 13   E 14
Haines index....3      4      4      3      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/10003      1      3      2      3      3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Patchy fog through the
                    day. Rain likely in the morning. Chance of rain
                    in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 49.
RH..................Min 69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......100-1900 ft AGL increasing to 2700-3600 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 16 to 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (100-37900 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (54900-74800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........99     98     98     98     97     97
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........
Temp............40     40     42     47     49     49
RH..............99     100    91     80     71     71
20 ft wind......NE 6   NE 7   NE 8   NE 9   NE 10  NE 10
20 ft wind gust.10     10     15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....300    100    1000   2700   3400   3600
Transport wind..NE 16  NE 18  NE 22  NE 23  E 24   E 24
Haines index....3      3      3      3      2      2
SDspl kt-ft/10003      0      19     55     71     75

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Northeast winds around 8 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. East
winds around 7 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. East
winds around 6 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Dergan
Requested by...Duwayne Traversie
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705344.0/OAX
.EMAIL duwayne.traversie@bia.gov



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