Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FNUS73 KOAX 300923
FWSOAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR T113...BIA, WINNEBAGO AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
423 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

THE COMBINATION OF FINE DRY FUELS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL SUPPORT EXTREME FIRE DANGER OR BEHAVIOR...WITH
A HIGH POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD NEW IGNITIONS OR CONTROL PROBLEMS
WITH EXISTING FIRES OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA. THUS A RED FLAG WARNING
WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK
AREA.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13 TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4100-5200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 2100-3100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 30 TO
                    36 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 23 TO 26 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........34     30     24     17     11     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............58     70     75     74     67     57
RH..............33     24     19     19     26     42
20 FT WIND......SW 17  SW 20  W 18   W 15   NW 10  NW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.25     30     30     20     15     10
HAINES INDEX....6      6      6      6      6      6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 10
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 900-1800 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO 12
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...DEE
REQUESTED BY...DUWAYNE TRAVERSIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150330.T113_.01/OAX


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