Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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FNUS71 KPHI 271208
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHESTER RESPONSE...BUREAU OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
808 AM EDT SAT JUN 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0820 EDT ON JUNE 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS OHIO TO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA TODAY
INTO TONIGHT, THEN INTO NEW ENGLAND BY LATE SUNDAY. A WEAK AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR MONDAY, THEN A COLD FRONT SETTLES
ACROSS OUR REGION LATER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BEFORE STALLING TO
OUR SOUTH THURSDAY. THIS FRONT MAY THEN LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS OUR
AREA FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. RAIN
                    AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT EARLY...INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1400...THEN 16-25 STRIKES UNTIL
                    1600...THEN NO TSTMS UNTIL 1700...THEN 16-25
                    STRIKES.
WIND SHIFT..........

TIME (EDT)          8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............100    100    100    100    100
WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE........RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV............                     CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................68     71     73     74     75
RH..................83     77     71     71     71
20 FT WIND..........E 9    E 10   SE 13  SE 14  SE 15
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     20     20
CWR.................80     60     60     80     80
CHC OF PCPN (%).....80     60     60     80     80
LAL.................1      1      1      4      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. RAIN. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY
                    MORNING.
CWR.................100 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
LAL.................16-25 STRIKES UNTIL 0400...THEN NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............100    100    100    100    100    96
WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................74     73     72     71     70     70
RH..................76     81     87     87     87     84
20 FT WIND..........SE 15  SE 15  SE 12  S 9    S 7    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     20     15     15     10     10
CWR.................90     100    100    90     90     60
CHC OF PCPN (%).....90     100    100    90     90     60
LAL.................5      5      5      5      5      1

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............92     68     66     64     62     58
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................70     72     75     78     80     80
RH..................84     76     66     56     49     49
20 FT WIND..........SW 6   SW 7   SW 12  W 16   W 20   W 20
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     15     25     30     30
CWR.................40     30     30     30     20     20
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40     30     30     30     20     20
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...OHARA
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN TURNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150627.CHEST.01/PHI



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