Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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FNUS71 KRLX 180126
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Spot Forecast for CEMENT FIRE...USFS Wayne National Forest
National Weather Service Charleston WV
826 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 2100 EST on December 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A weak system crossed the area earlier today. Low clouds and some patchy
drizzle will linger behind the system tonight and Monday. Light
winds out of the south are expected tonight, becoming out of the southwest
Monday.

Due to the low clouds and light winds, mixing heights will be rather low
tonight. They should increase some by Monday afternoon as the cloud deck
begins to lift and transport winds increase out of the southwest.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy drizzle.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds, generally out of the south.
Mixing height.......400-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 3 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........98  98  95  91  88  87  86  87  90
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............40  40  39  39  39  37  37  37  38
RH..............85  85  89  89  85  92  92  92  92
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy drizzle.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds, becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then becoming light
                    late.
Mixing height.......700-2500 ft AGL, increasing to 2700 ft AGL
                    late.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 10 mph, increasing to 13 to 14
                    mph late.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........93  95  94  92  91  93  91  90  89  89  88  84
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............39  39  39  41  42  44  46  48  49  49  49  48
RH..............92  92  96  92  89  86  83  77  77  77  77  80
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   6   7   10  10  10  10  10  10  8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.5 2.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   7   10  13  14
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy drizzle
                    early in the evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......1100-2600 ft AGL, increasing to 3200-4200 ft
                    AGL after midnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 14 mph, increasing to west 18 to
                    26 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........83  82  82  82  82  82  82  82  79  74  69  63
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....DZL DZL DZL
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............47  47  45  45  45  44  44  43  43  42  42  42
RH..............83  83  86  82  82  86  86  89  89  93  93  93
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.7   7       4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 2.4 1.8 1.3 1.1 2.0 3.2 4.2 4.2 3.8 3.4 3.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.14  13  9   6   5   10  18  25  26  24  22  21
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds, becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......2000-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  55  55  55  56  56  56  56  57  59  60  61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............43  43  44  45  46  49  52  54  54  54  54  54
RH..............89  89  86  86  83  74  69  64  59  59  61  64
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.4   4               10  11  13  13  11  10  7
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.20  18  18  20  20  20  18  17  17  16  16  15
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...MZ
Requested by...MARCIA DUNN
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1720046.0/RLX



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