Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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000
FNUS71 KRLX 251437
FWSRLX

Spot Forecast for Grandview Rx Burn...NPS
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1037 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on March 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather for the afternoon with varying thickness to the cirrus
clouds overhead. Mixing heights will increase quite a bit this
afternoon. Southeast winds may gust 15 to 20 mph from through the
early afternoon. RH values will drop to just below 40
during the hours of max heating.

Southeast winds may stay up on the hilltops this evening tonight as
gradient winds increase aloft. RH values will increase overnight as
a low pressure system approaches from the west. A decaying band of
showers may affect the area after sunrise. Otherwise, the area may
remain dry until late in the day when showers/storms move through as
the low pressure system passes through the Ohio Valley.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......900-2300 ft AGL...increasing to 6200-6400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........73  71  71  72  73  74  76
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Cch of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Temp............65  68  71  72  72  73  74
RH..............56  51  46  42  41  40  37
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.    10  10  15  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 2.3 4.0 5.5 6.2 6.4 6.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   8   7   8
Haines index....3   3   3   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......4600-6200 ft AGL...decreasing to 1400-1500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 18 mph...decreasing to 7 to 8
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........75  72  66  62  61  61  54  53  53  57  67  71
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Cch of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp............73  70  70  68  63  61  60  59  58  58  57  56
RH..............38  44  44  47  53  58  59  62  64  66  69  72
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10          10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...6.2 5.9 5.3 4.6 3.7 2.9 2.3 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.12  16  18  17  15  13  10  8   7   7   7   8
Haines index....4   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   3

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A chance of
                    showers in the morning...then showers likely
                    and a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent...increasing to 60 percent.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late.
Mixing height.......1700-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 17 mph...becoming south 20 to 21
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  81  85  77  81  82  83  84  85  85  87  87
Weather cov.....            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH
CWR.............10  10  10  40  50  50  50  50  60  60  60  60
Cch of pcpn (%).10  10  10  40  50  50  50  50  60  60  60  60
Temp............55  54  54  56  54  56  58  60  61  62  62  61
RH..............75  78  80  89  83  80  75  72  70  67  70  72
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.7 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   9   10  12  14  17  20  21  21  20
Haines index....3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...30
Requested by...Andrew Ruth
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705086.4/RLX


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