Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FNUS74 KSHV 291208
FWSSHV

Spot Forecast for SNF Patroon RX...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
708 AM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on March 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A line of thunderstorms will move into the burn site before
ignition time, and will likely still be ongoing. Thunderstorms
will continue off-and-on all day today. Redevelop is likely by the
afternoon, and some storms could be severe. Damaging straight line
winds, isolated tornadoes, and large hail will be possible. Rain
chances should early Thursday morning. Southerly winds will remain
rather gusty today, but speeds should diminish after sunset. Winds
will become westerly by sunrise Thursday as a cold front moves
through the area.

.TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........70  70  70  70  80  80  80  80  80
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............40  40  40  40  60  60  60  60  60
Temp............73  74  75  77  79  80  81  82  80
RH..............79  77  72  67  63  63  63  63  65
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   10  11  12  13  14  14  14  12
20 FT wind gust.10  15  20  20  25  25  25  25  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.7 1.7 1.7 3.8 3.8 3.8 5.5 5.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.16  22  22  22  24  24  24  29  29
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).7   10  10  10  11  11  11  13  13

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........80  80  80  80  70  70  70  50  50  50  50  50
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............60  50  50  50  50  50  50  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............79  77  75  72  70  68  67  65  64  62  61  60
RH..............67  69  74  79  85  91  97  100 100 99  100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.20  10  10  10  10          10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.5 2.2 2.2 2.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.29  28  28  28  31  31  31  21  21  21  18  18
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW
Trans spd (m/s).13  13  13  13  14  14  14  9   9   9   8   8

.THURSDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........50     50     40     40     40     40
Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............30     20     20     20     10     10
Temp............58     59     63     68     73     78
RH..............95     80     70     55     44     35
20 ft wind......W 7    W 7    W 7    W 8    W 9    W 10
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10     10     10     15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4    0.5    3.0    3.0    4.2    5.1
Transport wind..NW 18  W 14   W 21   W 21   W 22   W 20
Tran wind (m/s).NW 8   W 6    W 9    W 9    W 10   W 9

$$
Forecaster...NUTTALL
Requested by...Angelina/ Sabine NFs
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705406.0/SHV
.EMAIL djsndyer@fs.fed.us


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