Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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000
FNUS74 KSJT 310142
FWSSJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAVELAH FIRE...TFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO
842 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2024 CDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS WITH TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY FALLING INTO THE LOWER 70S BY
SUNRISE THURSDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
INCREASING TO JUST OVER 80 PERCENT. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE AFTER 4 AM AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. A FEW
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY BUT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN GENERALLY LIGHT. EXPECT
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TO DEVELOP THURSDAY MORNING WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE BURN
AREA.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 21 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

TIME (CDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........63     53     45     45     54
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............92     85     81     78     75
RH..............29     35     44     54     66
20 FT WIND......S 10   SE 8   S 7    S 7    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0700...THEN 2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........63     66     68     69     69     69
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............73     73     79     84     87     88
RH..............79     81     67     57     52     48
20 FT WIND......W 5    NW 5   NW 6   NW 7   N 8    N 8
20 FT WIND GUST.              10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...JOHNSON
REQUESTED BY...TEXAS A M FOREST SERVICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140730.HAVEL.03/SJT







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