Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS72 KTAE 281157
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR 310...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
757 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8833.

.DISCUSSION...
PREVAILING NORTHERLY FLOW SHOULD KEEP THE SEA BREEZE PINNED TO
NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE UNTIL THE EARLY-MID AFTERNOON THE
NEXT COUPLE DAYS. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO A PERIOD OF LIGHT NORTHWEST
TO NORTH FLOW THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS INTO THE MIDDAY HOURS...
FOLLOWED BY SHIFTING WINDS IN THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON AND A
TRANSITION TO BREEZY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
TODAY SHOULD BE FAIRLY ISOLATED...BUT BETTER CHANCES OF STORMS
WILL RETURN TOMORROW. BOTH TODAY AND TOMORROW HEAT INDICES MAY
RISE TO BETWEEN 105 AND 110 DEGREES AT TIMES FROM THE LATE
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON
                    ...AND THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 7 TO 11
                    MPH WITH THE SEA BREEZE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400. THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING VARIABLE AROUND
                    MIDDAY AS WINDS BEGIN TO SHIFT...AND THEN
                    BECOMING WEST 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........MAXIMUM VALUES AROUND 60.
LVORI...............VALUES AROUND 1.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY COVER.......M CLR  M CLR  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   TSTMS  TSTMS
TEMP............89     93     94     91
RH..............63     54     56     63
20 FT WIND......NNE 4  NE 6   SE 6   SSW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.7      10     10     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 1 TO 4 MPH
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0100. THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MINIMUM VALUES AROUND 8.
LVORI...............VALUES AROUND 3 UNTIL 0200. THEN 5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  M CLR  M CLR
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  NONE   NONE
TEMP............90     88     84     81     80     79
RH..............67     70     74     82     85     88
20 FT WIND......SW 9   SW 7   W 6    W 5    W 3    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.14     10     10     8      5      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON HOURS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT NORTH WINDS BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
                    7 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1300. THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-6200 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    8 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........MAXIMUM VALUES AROUND 60.
LVORI...............VALUES AROUND 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY COVER.......M CLR  M CLR  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS  TSTMS
TEMP............78     81     88     94     95     91
RH..............92     89     66     53     50     63
20 FT WIND......NW 1   NW 1   N 2    N 4    S 5    SSW 11
20 FT WIND GUST.3      3      4      6      8      15

$$

FORECASTER...ALEX LAMERS
REQUESTED BY...BART RYE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150728.310__.01/TAE



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