Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Alaska-Pacific RFC

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AGAK78 PACR 272240
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE STATE.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THIS MORNING HAS A LOW OVER SOUTHEAST
ALASKA... A HIGH CENTERED NEAR NORTON SOUND... AND ADDITIONAL LOWS
NEAR THE NORTHERN KAMCHATKA PENINSULA AND SOUTH OF THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS.  THE EASTERN LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST THROUGH
SATURDAY... KEEPING THE CHANCE FOR OCCASIONAL SHOWERS OVER MOST OF
SOUTHEAST ALASKA.  THE HIGH WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD THROUGH
SATURDAY... LEADING TO DRY AND WARMING WEATHER OVER MOST OF THE
MAINLAND THROUGH SATURDAY.  WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE THE
HIGH-ELEVATION SNOW MELT... LEADING TO RISES ON AFFECTED RIVERS.

...PRECIPITATION...

PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
UNCA2    UPPER NOME CREEK     PC R2 :  0.39
MSOA2    MUNSON RIDGE SNOTEL  PC R2 :  0.37
RDMA2    AK RED DOG MINE      PC R2 :  0.36
UCEA2    UPPER CHENA DOME     PC R2 :  0.31
TRSA2    TWO RIVERS           PC RG :  0.31
MTCA2    MONTANA CREEK        PC RG :  0.28
PAVL     KIVALINA             PP RZ :  0.26
UCHA2    CHENA RIVER          PC RG :  0.25
SLRA2    SALCHA RIVER RAWS    PC RG :  0.25
KUGA2    KUGURUROK RAWS       PC RG :  0.23
KELA2    KELLY RIVER RAWS     PC RG :  0.22
SHLA2    SHELTER COVE RAWS    PC RG :  0.21
STUA2    STUART CREEK RAWS    PC RG :  0.20
KLLA2    KELLY STATION        PC R2 :  0.20

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE ENTIRE STATE.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE NORTHWEST AND
NORTHCENTRAL MAINLAND.  THERE ARE INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND... MOST OF
SOUTHCENTRAL AND THE SOUTHEAST MAINLAND... AND OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZEUP IN THE FALL. A
GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

A GRAPHICAL SLIDE SHOW PRESENTATION OF HYDROMET ISSUES IS AVAILABLE
AT HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PRESENT
$$

ACL


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