Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Northeast RFC

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AGUS71 KTAR 291515
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1111 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT IN EASTERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT THIS
MORNING WILL CONTINUE SOUTH AND EAST TODAY AND WILL BE OFF THE
COAST OF NEW ENGLAND BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.  THIS FRONT PRODUCED 0.30
TO 0.60 INCHES OF RAIN OVERNIGHT IN WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK
AND 0.20 TO 0.40 INCHES OF RAIN IN PARTS OF VERMONT AND INTERIOR
MAINE.
:
THURSDAY WILL FEATURE WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WHICH IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE SOME LAKE EFFECT AND MOUNTAIN SHOWERS...OTHERWISE THE
REMAINDER OF THE REGION WILL BE DRY.
:
PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS WILL BE IN THE 0.10 TO 0.20
INCH RANGE FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...AND
FROM 0.10 TO 0.20 IN THE LEE OF THE GREAT LAKES ASSOCIATED WITH
LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
VERY MINOR RISES OCCURRED ON SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IN WESTERN
NEW YORK AND NORTHERN VERMONT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS FROM THE
RECENT RAINFALL.  THE REST OF THE RIVERS CONTINUE TO RECEDE THIS
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
:
RAINFALL FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE VERY
MINOR RISES ALONG SOME OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IN EASTERN NEW YORK
AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.  MAINSTEM RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD
STEADY OR RECEDE UNLESS IMPACTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION OR TIDES.
THE RIVERS IN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH ONLY LIGHT RAINFALL EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING IN THIS PART OF THE REGION.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATER WATCH WEBPAGE... 7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS RELATIVE TO THOSE THAT OCCURRED IN LATE OCTOBER ARE
GENERALLY IN THE NORMAL TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL RANGES ACROSS MOST OF
NEW YORK STATE AND NEW ENGLAND.  LAST WEEK`S RAINFALL AND
INCREASED RIVER FLOWS HAVE PROVIDED FOR MANY LOCATIONS WITH WELL
ABOVE NORMAL FLOWS SITUATED ACROSS MASSACHUSETTS, SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN MAINE.  ONLY A FEW LOCATIONS IN
SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT RECORDED WEEKLY
AVERAGE STREAMFLOWS BELOW NORMAL LEVELS.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:       DAVID VALLEE
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                ALISON MACNEIL




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