High Seas Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FZPN03 KNHC 310248
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 31.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT NOV 01.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN NOV 02.

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 10.8N 101.3W 1004 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT
31 MOVING WSW OR 250 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT AND
45 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM N
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 10.0N 103.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS
TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 10.4N 107.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND
105W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NE
SWELL. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND
110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 12.9N 110.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 17.1N 110.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 20.5N 107.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 15N95W TO 13N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 15N95W TO 14N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO
NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N96W TO 12N98W
N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 15N95W TO 13N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO
NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N97W TO
12.5N100W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE
FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 104W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 15N95W TO 13N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO
NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N97W TO 12N100W
N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N
TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N132W TO 26N140W. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N128W TO 27N132W THEN
WEAKENING COLD FRONT TO 23N140W. NW OF A LINE FROM 30N135W TO
27N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 30N124W TO 24N131W
THEN DISSIPATING COLD FRONT TO 21N140W. N OF 29N BETWEEN 130W
AND 136W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. FROM
20N TO 25N W OF 135W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
ELSEWHERE NW OF A LINE FROM 30N128W TO 20N135W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS MERGED.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 20N W OF 132W NE WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 24N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE W OF A
LINE FROM 30N119W TO 20N130W TO 11N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0215 UTC FRI OCT 31...

.TROPICAL STORM VANCE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180
NM NE SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE
FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 97W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N78W TO 08N90W TO 10N97W THEN RESUMES W OF
T.S. VANCE FROM 09N105W TO 08N110W TO 13N121W TO 09N133W. ITCZ
AXIS FROM 09N133W TO 08N140W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 84W AND 87W. NUMEROUS
MODERATE FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 85W AND 87W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



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