High Seas Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FZPN03 KNHC 201502
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN AUG 20 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 22.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 16.3N 127.4W 990 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 20
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...70 NM NE AND 40 NM SW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SE AND 45 NM SW
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 150
NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 17.8N 131.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE AND 50 NM SW
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 120 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM NW AND
180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 20.4N 133.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NE...70 NM SE...50 NM SW AND 80 NM NW QUADRANTS.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES
WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 240 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 23.7N 134.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 26.7N 136.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KENNETH NEAR 28.0N
137.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 125W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 24N BETWEEN 128W AND 140W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SUN AUG 20...

.HURRICANE KENNETH...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE
FROM 18N128W TO 12.5N127W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 11N92W TO 10.5N90W TO LOW PRES
08N116W TO 09N119W...RESUMES FROM 14N130W TO 11.5N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE FROM 07N77W
TO 08N88W TO 13N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
120 NM OF LINE FROM 07N90W TO 09N98W TO 09N110W AND WITHIN 90 NM
OF 09.5N125W.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


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