Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXHW01 KWNH 241222
PMDHI

HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
821 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

VALID 00Z FRI JUL 25 2014 - 00Z FRI AUG 01 2014

MODELS AND ENSEMBLES REASONABLY AGREE IN SUPPORT OF A MODERATE TO
LOCALLY BREZZY ISLAND TRADE FLOW PATTERN INTO NEXT WEEK, HELD
UNDERNEATH A DEVELOPING HIGHER LATITUDE BLOCK.  A FAVORED GUIDANCE
COMPOSITE INDICATES THIS PATTERN SHOULD SUPPORT SOME WINDWARD
TERRAIN BASED SHOWERS, BUT THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AND THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ARE ALSO MEANWHILE MONITORING TWO
TROPICAL DISTURBANCES THAT OFFER THE POTENTIAL FOR MOISTURE AND
SHOWER ENHANCEMENT INTO ESPECIALLY THE SRN ISLANDS WITH APPROACH
AND PASSAGE. A LEAD DISTURBANCE NEAR 140W MAY EFFECT THE STATE
SUN/MON AND A SECOND DISTURBANCE ORGANIZING NEAR 130W SEEMS ABOUT
A WEEK AWAY...ALBEIT WITH MORE UNCERTAINTY.

SCHICHTEL

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