Quantitative Precipitation Statement
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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000
FSUS46 KLOX 211144
QPSLOX

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
339 AM PST TUE FEB 21 2017

PRECIPITATION FORECASTS IN INCHES ARE PROVIDED IN 3-HOUR
INCREMENTS UNTIL 1600 FOLLOWED BY 6-HOUR INCREMENTS UNTIL 0400.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES COVER UP TO 0400 ON DAY 1 ONLY.

LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN ZERO BUT LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN
INCH ARE SHOWN AS LGT.

THE DISCUSSION COVERS THE PERIOD FROM: TUE FEB 21 2017 THROUGH TUE FEB 28 2017.

&&
                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY...

LSRC1:CAMBRIA                        0.1    0.1    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
SMRC1:SANTA MARGARITA                0.1    0.1    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
NIPC1:LOPEZ LAKE                     LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0

SLO: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.01-0.10    FTHLS/MTNS 0.01-0.10
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN  0400-1000
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&
                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

SANTA BARBARA COUNTY...

SIYC1:SANTA MARIA CITY               LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
SBTC1:SANTA BARBARA POTRERO          LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   LGT    LGT
GBRC1:GIBRALTAR DAM                  LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   LGT    0.0
SMCC1:SAN MARCOS PASS                LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   LGT    0.0
SBFC1:SANTA BARBARA COUNTY BUILDING  LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0

SBA: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.01-0.10    FTHLS/MTNS 0.01-0.10
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN  0400-1000
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&
                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

VENTURA COUNTY...

FGWC1:FAGAN CANYON                   LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
HRCC1:HOPPER CANYON                  LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
MTDC1:MATILIJA DAM                   LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
VTUC1:VENTURA COUNTY GOVT CENTER     LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
MORC1:MOORPARK COUNTY YARD           LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
CRXC1:CIRCLE X RANCH                 LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0

VTU: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.01-0.10    FTHLS/MTNS 0.01-0.10
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN  1600-2200
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&
                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

LOS ANGELES COUNTY...

WFKC1:WEST FORK HELIPORT (MT WILSON) LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   LGT    0.0
BDDC1:BIG DALTON DAM                 LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
PCDC1:PACOIMA DAM                    LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
FLTC1:LA CANADA FLINTRIDGE           LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
SAUC1:SAUGUS                         LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
CQT  :LOS ANGELES DOWNTOWN (USC)     LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
MLUC1:BIG ROCK MESA                  LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0

LAC: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.01-0.10    FTHLS/MTNS 0.01-0.10
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN  1600-2200
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO
OVER THE WEEKEND
&&

DISCUSSION:

MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING PERIODS OF DRIZZLE AND
LIGHT RAIN TO COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE UNDER A QUARTER OF AN INCH EXCEPT UP TO THREE
TIMES THAT MUCH OVER THE FOOTHILLS IN EXTREME NW SLO COUNTY.

MOIST NORTH FLOW WILL CREATE LIGHT SHOWERS ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE
MOUNTAINS AND NEARBY VALLEYS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS COULD FALL BELOW 4000 FEET THURSDAY MORNING.

WIDESPREAD RAIN IS LIKELY SUNDAY AND SHOWERS MAY PERSIST INTO
MONDAY. THIS COULD BE A MODERATE STORM...BUT NEED A FEW MORE
CONSISTANT MDL RUNS BEFORE GAINING REAL CONFIDANCE IN IT ALONG WITH
THE FINER HYDRODYNAMIC DETAILS.

&&

RORKE



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