River Forecast
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000
FGUS51 KTIR 050206
RVFLIK
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
9:06pm EST Wednesday, March 4, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Blue Lick Springs - Licking River - LMK
: Zero Datum 560.99 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Nicholas County, KY
: Record River Stage     47.6 ft
: Major River Stage      45.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   42.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      25.0 ft
: Action River Stage     23.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR BLSK2 20150305 Z DC201503050206/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFFX :crest:   33.3
: Crest near   33.3 ft around 1PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 3PM EDT on Sun, Mar 8
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  13.3 /  14.1 /  14.4
:     Mar 04   /  14.8 /  17.7 /  22.6 /  26.7
:     Mar 05   /  29.3
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 29.6 ft at 800pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER BLSK2 20150305 Z DC201503050206/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  31.2 /  32.9 /  33.3
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  31.8 /  30.1 /  29.5 /  28.9
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  28.9 /  28.9 /  28.9 /  28.6
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  28.0 /  27.2 /  26.4 /  25.2
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  24.1 /  23.2 /  22.5 /  22.0
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  21.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.04
:     Mar 04   /  0.01 /  0.36 /  0.69 /  0.58
:     Mar 05   /  0.69
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.47 /  0.34 /  0.11
:     Mar 06   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   2.6 /  -0.7 /  -2.2
:     Mar 03   /   1.4 /  -1.8 /  -2.0 /   1.9
:     Mar 04   /  11.6 /  11.4 /   5.7 /   4.2
:     Mar 05   /   2.2 /  -1.5 /  -6.4 /  -7.9
:     Mar 06   /  -7.1 / -10.6 / -16.2 / -10.1
:     Mar 07   /  -3.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: McKinneysburg - Licking River - ILN
: Zero Datum 520.83 ft (USGS)
: Pendleton County, KY
: Record River Stage     55.2 ft
: Major River Stage      48.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   40.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      33.0 ft
: Action River Stage     28.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 5AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
.AR MKBK2 20150306 Z DC201503050206/DUE/DQG/DH00/HGIFFX :crest:   34.0
: Crest near   34.0 ft around 7PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 6AM EST on Fri, Mar 6
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  11.8 /  12.1 /  12.5
:     Mar 04   /  13.1 /  16.6 /  23.4 /  28.2
:     Mar 05   /  31.0
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 31.4 ft at 845pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER MKBK2 20150305 Z DC201503050206/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  32.3 /  33.3 /  33.8
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  34.0 /  33.7 /  32.8 /  31.0
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  29.3 /  28.2 /  27.1 /  26.2
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  25.3 /  24.3 /  23.4 /  22.5
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  21.5 /  20.6 /  19.8 /  19.3
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  19.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.06
:     Mar 04   /  0.01 /  0.30 /  0.73 /  0.47
:     Mar 05   /  0.49
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.44 /  0.27 /  0.06
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   1.8 /  -1.6 /  -2.4
:     Mar 03   /   1.2 /  -2.4 /  -2.4 /   1.6
:     Mar 04   /  11.0 /   9.5 /   4.6 /   3.2
:     Mar 05   /   1.3 /  -3.9 /  -7.5 /  -8.1
:     Mar 06   /  -7.3 / -13.4 / -18.2 / -12.3
:     Mar 07   /  -4.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Cynthiana - South Fork Licking River - LMK
: Zero Datum 688.52 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Harrison County, KY
: Record River Stage     28.5 ft
: Major River Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     19.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 4AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
.AR CYNK2 20150305 Z DC201503050206/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:   20.5
: Crest near   20.5 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 1PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /   8.1 /   8.6 /   8.8
:     Mar 04   /   9.1 /  10.4 /  12.5 /  15.3
:     Mar 05   /  17.3
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 17.5 ft at 830pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER CYNK2 20150305 Z DC201503050206/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  19.5 /  20.5 /  20.1
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  18.3 /  15.5 /  12.8 /  10.7
.E3 : Mar 07 : /   9.5 /   8.9 /   8.5 /   8.1
.E4 : Mar 08 : /   7.8 /   7.5 /   7.3 /   7.1
.E5 : Mar 09 : /   6.9 /   6.7 /   6.7 /   6.8
.E6 : Mar 10 : /   7.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.04
:     Mar 04   /  0.00 /  0.32 /  0.92 /  0.49
:     Mar 05   /  0.43
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.46 /  0.32 /  0.08
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   1.8 /  -1.2 /  -2.3
:     Mar 03   /   1.2 /  -1.9 /  -2.1 /   2.1
:     Mar 04   /  13.2 /  12.2 /   5.9 /   4.1
:     Mar 05   /   1.5 /  -2.7 /  -7.0 /  -8.5
:     Mar 06   /  -7.6 / -12.7 / -17.1 / -11.8
:     Mar 07   /  -5.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Falmouth - Licking River - ILN
: Zero Datum 510.39 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Pendleton County, KY
: Record River Stage     51.8 ft
: Major River Stage      41.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   37.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      33.0 ft
: Action River Stage     23.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR FLMK2 20150306 Z DC201503050206/DUE/DQG/DH00/HGIFFX :crest:   30.0
: Crest near   30.0 ft around 7PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /   5.8 /   6.4 /   7.8
:     Mar 04   /   8.4 /  11.3 /  17.6 /  22.7
:     Mar 05   /  25.7
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 26.2 ft at 841pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER FLMK2 20150305 Z DC201503050206/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  27.4 /  29.2 /  29.9
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  30.0 /  29.3 /  27.4 /  24.4
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  21.4 /  18.8 /  16.9 /  15.6
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  14.6 /  13.6 /  12.8 /  12.0
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  11.2 /  10.4 /   9.8 /   9.4
.E6 : Mar 10 : /   9.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.05
:     Mar 04   /  0.02 /  0.28 /  0.65 /  0.46
:     Mar 05   /  0.46
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.43 /  0.24 /  0.06
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   1.4 /  -1.8 /  -2.5
:     Mar 03   /   1.3 /  -2.4 /  -2.8 /   1.5
:     Mar 04   /   9.6 /   7.7 /   3.2 /   2.1
:     Mar 05   /   0.9 /  -4.1 /  -7.7 /  -8.1
:     Mar 06   /  -7.2 / -13.2 / -17.9 / -12.3
:     Mar 07   /  -4.3
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
:
:...END of MESSAGE...




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