River Forecast
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FGUS53 KKRF 241538
RVFMTB

RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1535Z Sun May 24 2015
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS LWRMOT

:     **********************************************************
:     *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF  ***
:     **********************************************************


: ==>    This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF    <==

RIVER/STATION            FS     TDY    F O R E C A S T
LITTLE BLUE RIVER
  LAKE CITY MO           18.0   11.7   CREST WITHIN BANKS
CROOKED RIVER
  RICHMOND MO 4N         20.0   15.2   CREST NEAR 23.5 FT 05/25 AM
WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON MO          16.0    8.0   CREST NEAR 18.8 FT 05/25 PM
BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY MO 1NW     22.0   17.1   CREST NEAR 30.5 FT 05/25 PM
  BLUE LICK MO           24.0   15.4   CREST NEAR 31.0 FT 05/27 AM
LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE MO 1E       15.0    2.9   CREST NEAR 17.0 FT 05/25 AM
PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE MO 4SSE      16.0    4.6   CREST NEAR 16.5 FT 05/25 PM

:__________________________________________________________________

:LAKE CITY MO - LITTLE BLUE RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 18.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 16.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 11.7 FT AT 1445Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0523                           /   6.2
:   0524   /   6.1 /   6.6 /  12.4

.ER LKCM7 20150524 Z DC201505241535/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /  11.5
.E2  :0525:/  13.3 /  15.4 /  15.2 /  11.6
.E3  :0526:/   9.3 /   8.3 /   7.5 /   7.0
.E4  :0527:/   6.7 /   6.5 /   6.3 /   6.2
.E5  :0528:/   6.1 /   6.1 /   6.0 /   5.9
.E6  :0529:/   5.8 /   5.8 /   5.7


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.00
:    0524  /  0.04 /  1.19 /  0.26
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   1.48  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.25
:    0525  /  0.56 /  0.58 /  0.04
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   1.42  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:RICHMOND MO 4N - CROOKED RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 15.2 FT AT 1430Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0523                           /   7.8
:   0524   /   7.7 /   7.7 /  13.4

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 05/25/2015 AROUND 02Z
.AR : CREST : RICM7 20150525 Z DC201505241535/DH12/HGIFFX 23.5
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/26/2015 AROUND 05Z
.ER RICM7 20150524 Z DC201505241535/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /  16.6
.E2  :0525:/  19.2 /  21.8 /  23.5 /  23.1
.E3  :0526:/  21.7 /  19.8 /  17.7 /  15.6
.E4  :0527:/  13.8 /  12.3 /  11.4 /  10.7
.E5  :0528:/  10.3 /   9.9 /   9.5 /   9.3
.E6  :0529:/   9.0 /   8.7 /   8.5


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.00
:    0524  /  0.00 /  0.66 /  0.39
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   1.05  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.27
:    0525  /  0.50 /  0.56 /  0.06
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   1.39  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:CARROLLTON MO - WAKENDA CREEK     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 16.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 14.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 8.0 FT AT 1500Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0524                           /   3.9
:   0524   /   3.8 /   5.2 /   8.0

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 05/25/2015 AROUND 12Z
.AR : CREST : CAXM7 20150526 Z DC201505241535/DH00/HGIFFX 18.8
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/26/2015 AROUND 14Z
.ER CAXM7 20150524 Z DC201505241535/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /   9.0
.E2  :0525:/  11.3 /  13.7 /  15.9 /  18.2
.E3  :0526:/  18.8 /  18.4 /  16.6 /  14.8
.E4  :0527:/  12.5 /  10.2 /   9.5 /   9.0
.E5  :0528:/   8.5 /   8.1 /   7.8 /   7.4
.E6  :0529:/   7.1 /   6.8 /   6.6


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.00
:    0524  /  0.00 /  0.32 /  0.53
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   0.86  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.32
:    0525  /  0.55 /  0.61 /  0.10
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   1.58  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:VALLEY CITY MO 1NW - BLACKWATER RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 22.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 20.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 17.1 FT AT 1500Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0524                           /   6.3
:   0524   /   6.2 /   9.8 /  17.1

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 05/24/2015 AROUND 23Z
.AR : CREST : VLYM7 20150525 Z DC201505241535/DH18/HGIFFX 30.5
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/26/2015 AROUND 16Z
.ER VLYM7 20150524 Z DC201505241535/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /  17.6
.E2  :0525:/  22.7 /  27.8 /  30.4 /  30.5
.E3  :0526:/  28.6 /  25.8 /  23.6 /  21.3
.E4  :0527:/  19.5 /  18.2 /  16.5 /  15.0
.E5  :0528:/  13.8 /  13.0 /  12.2 /  11.3
.E6  :0529:/  10.6 /  10.0 /   9.5


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.00
:    0524  /  0.01 /  0.65 /  0.51
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   1.17  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.34
:    0525  /  0.55 /  0.73 /  0.07
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   1.69  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:BLUE LICK MO - BLACKWATER RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 24.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 22.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 37.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 15.4 FT AT 1445Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0523                           /  15.2
:   0524   /  14.5 /  14.2 /  14.3

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 05/25/2015 AROUND 03Z
.AR : CREST : BLVM7 20150527 Z DC201505241535/DH12/HGIFFX 31.0
.ER BLVM7 20150524 Z DC201505241535/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /  17.2
.E2  :0525:/  20.7 /  27.7 /  28.5 /  28.9
.E3  :0526:/  29.3 /  29.8 /  30.3 /  30.7
.E4  :0527:/  30.8 /  31.0 /  31.0 /  30.9
.E5  :0528:/  30.5 /  30.1 /  29.7 /  29.2
.E6  :0529:/  28.5 /  27.7 /  26.6


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.00
:    0524  /  0.00 /  0.34 /  0.43
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   0.77  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.34
:    0525  /  0.55 /  0.65 /  0.14
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   1.69  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:OTTERVILLE MO 1E - LAMINE RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 13.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 18.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.9 FT AT 1515Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0524                           /   3.0
:   0524   /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 05/25/2015 AROUND 08Z
.AR : CREST : OTTM7 20150525 Z DC201505241535/DH12/HGIFFX 17.0
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/25/2015 AROUND 21Z
.ER OTTM7 20150524 Z DC201505241535/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /   2.9
.E2  :0525:/   6.0 /  13.8 /  17.0 /  16.4
.E3  :0526:/  13.0 /   9.5 /   7.9 /   7.0
.E4  :0527:/   6.1 /   5.2 /   4.7 /   4.3
.E5  :0528:/   4.1 /   3.8 /   3.6 /   3.4
.E6  :0529:/   3.2 /   3.1 /   2.9


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.03
:    0524  /  0.00 /  0.27 /  0.32
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   0.62  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.30
:    0525  /  0.38 /  0.71 /  0.20
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   1.59  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:BOONVILLE MO 4SSE - PETITE SALINE CREEK     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 16.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 14.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 19.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.6 FT AT 1430Z ON 0524

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0523                           /   4.6
:   0524   /   4.6 /   4.5 /   4.5

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 05/25/2015 AROUND 21Z
.AR : CREST : BONM7 20150526 Z DC201505241535/DH00/HGIFFX 16.5
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/26/2015 AROUND 01Z
.ER BONM7 20150524 Z DC201505241535/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0524:                        /   4.8
.E2  :0525:/   6.0 /  10.1 /  13.3 /  15.5
.E3  :0526:/  16.5 /  13.8 /  11.5 /   9.9
.E4  :0527:/   8.9 /   8.1 /   7.4 /   7.0
.E5  :0528:/   6.5 /   6.2 /   5.9 /   5.6
.E6  :0529:/   5.3 /   5.2 /   5.0


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0523                          /  0.01
:    0524  /  0.01 /  0.28 /  0.24
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 24:   0.53  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0524                          /  0.28
:    0525  /  0.39 /  0.59 /  0.27
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 25:   1.52  inches

:********************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area
:EAX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Pleasant Hill, Missouri
:LSX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office St. Louis, Missouri
:SGF -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Springfield, Missouri
:OBS -        Observed
:EST -        Estimated
:M -          Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip -     Precipitation
:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: mgt
:...END of MESSAGE...



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