River Forecast
Issued by NWS

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722
FGUS53 KMSR 290022
RVFSRS

RIVER FORECAST
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
720 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017

: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.
: NOTE...  This product includes observed precipitation, plus
:          forecast precipitation for the next 48 Hours.

:
:
: Souris River  Foxholm 3E ND - FOXN8
: HSA:BIS   Flood Stage:1573.0 FT   Fcst Issuance Stage:1572.0 FT
: ------------------------------------------------------------
: Outflows from Lake Darling are currently at an estimated
: 1200 cfs. Additional changes are likely this week as local
: melt progresses. Any changes are highly dependent on observed
: and forecast temperatures and timing of local runoff to
: maintain target flow of 2000 cfs at Minot.
: ------------------------------------------------------------
.E FOXN8 0328 Z DH06/DC03290020/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1  1573.2/ 1573.2/ 1573.2/ 1573.3
.E FOXN8 0329 Z DH06/DC03290020/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1  1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3
.E1  1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3
.E1  1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3
.E1  1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/ 1573.3/
:
:
: Wintering River  Karlsruhe 5NE - KLSN8
: HSA:BIS   Flood Stage:1509.0 FT   Fcst Issuance Stage:1508.0 FT
: ------------------------------------------------------------
: Suspected ice jams in the vicinity impacting stages. Melt
: water from the Wintering is making its way in to the mainstem
: Souris, where there is still a lot of ice in the reach.
: Karlsrhue was still ice covered when observed by COE recon
: teams over the weekend. Stages may fluctuate rapidly and
: may go higher than forecast.
: ------------------------------------------------------------
.E KLSN8 0328 Z DH06/DC03290020/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1  1508.0/ 1508.1/ 1508.1/ 1508.1
.E KLSN8 0329 Z DH06/DC03290020/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1  1508.2/ 1508.4/ 1508.5/ 1508.6/ 1508.7/ 1508.8/ 1508.8/ 1508.9
.E1  1508.9/ 1508.9/ 1509.0/ 1509.0/ 1509.0/ 1509.1/ 1509.1/ 1509.1
.E1  1509.1/ 1509.0/ 1509.0/ 1509.0/ 1509.0/ 1508.9/ 1508.9/ 1508.8
.E1  1508.8/ 1508.7/ 1508.7/ 1508.7/
:
:
: Souris River  Towner ND - TOWN8
: HSA:BIS   Flood Stage:1454.0 FT   Fcst Issuance Stage:1453.0 FT
: ------------------------------------------------------------
: Increased outflows from Lake Darling and snowmelt runoff
: from the local areas below Lake Darling are reaching the
: Towner area. There is still a good amount of ice in the
: reach, which adds uncertainty to the timing of the flow
: as it moves further downstream. Ice jams may form as ice
: breaks up and moves through the system.
: ------------------------------------------------------------
.E TOWN8 0328 Z DH06/DC03290020/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1  1455.9/ 1455.9/ 1455.9/ 1455.9
.E TOWN8 0329 Z DH06/DC03290020/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1  1456.0/ 1456.0/ 1456.0/ 1456.0/ 1456.1/ 1456.1/ 1456.1/ 1456.2
.E1  1456.2/ 1456.2/ 1456.3/ 1456.3/ 1456.3/ 1456.4/ 1456.4/ 1456.5
.E1  1456.5/ 1456.5/ 1456.5/ 1456.6/ 1456.6/ 1456.6/ 1456.7/ 1456.7
.E1  1456.6/ 1456.6/ 1456.6/ 1456.6/
:
:
: Souris River  Bantry ND - BANN8
: HSA:BIS   Flood Stage:1440.0 FT   Fcst Issuance Stage:1439.0 FT
: ------------------------------------------------------------
: Increases in flow from upstream releases and snowmelt over
: the weekend are causing ice movement and ice jams upstream.
: Routed flow is being impeded, but stages are impacted and
: ice is starting to lift. As ice moves and temperatures continue
: to erode the snowpack, levels are expected to rise significantly.
: ------------------------------------------------------------
.E BANN8 0328 Z DH06/DC03290020/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1  1438.9/ 1439.1/ 1439.1/ 1439.2
.E BANN8 0329 Z DH06/DC03290020/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1  1439.4/ 1439.6/ 1439.8/ 1440.0/ 1440.1/ 1440.2/ 1440.2/ 1440.3
.E1  1440.3/ 1440.4/ 1440.4/ 1440.5/ 1440.5/ 1440.6/ 1440.6/ 1440.7
.E1  1440.7/ 1440.8/ 1440.8/ 1440.9/ 1441.0/ 1441.0/ 1441.1/ 1441.2
.E1  1441.2/ 1441.3/ 1441.3/ 1441.4/
:
:
: Willow Creek  Willow City 7W - WLCN8
: HSA:BIS   Flood Stage:1442.0 FT   Fcst Issuance Stage:1441.0 FT
: ------------------------------------------------------------
: Ice is causing elevated stages. As melt progresses, higher
: levels are expected to be reached. Timing is heavily dependent
: on observed and forecast temperatures.
: ------------------------------------------------------------
.E WLCN8 0328 Z DH06/DC03290020/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1  1441.2/ 1441.2/ 1441.3/ 1441.3
.E WLCN8 0329 Z DH06/DC03290020/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1  1441.3/ 1441.4/ 1441.4/ 1441.4/ 1441.4/ 1441.4/ 1441.4/ 1441.5
.E1  1441.5/ 1441.6/ 1441.6/ 1441.8/ 1442.0/ 1442.2/ 1442.4/ 1442.6
.E1  1443.0/ 1443.5/ 1443.8/ 1444.0/ 1444.3/ 1444.5/ 1444.6/ 1444.8
.E1  1445.1/ 1445.3/ 1445.5/ 1445.7/
:
:
: Souris River  Westhope ND - WSTN8
: HSA:BIS   Flood Stage:1414.0 FT   Fcst Issuance Stage:1413.0 FT
: ------------------------------------------------------------
: Levels at Westhope are expected to rises significantly in
: the next 2 weeks. Timing and volume are heavily dependent
: on observed and forecast temperatures. Additionally, as
: ice breaks and moves through the system, the timing of routed
: flows from upstream will likely be impacted.
: ------------------------------------------------------------
.E WSTN8 0328 Z DH06/DC03290020/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft)
.E1  1412.5/ 1412.6/ 1412.7/ 1412.8
.E WSTN8 0329 Z DH06/DC03290020/HGIFF/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft)
.E1  1412.8/ 1412.9/ 1412.9/ 1413.0/ 1413.0/ 1413.1/ 1413.2/ 1413.2
.E1  1413.3/ 1413.4/ 1413.5/ 1413.8/ 1414.0/ 1414.2/ 1414.5/ 1414.7
.E1  1415.0/ 1415.2/ 1415.5/ 1415.8/ 1416.1/ 1416.4/ 1416.7/ 1417.0
.E1  1417.2/ 1417.4/ 1417.6/ 1417.8/
:
:
:END

 NOTE...  This product includes observed precipitation, plus
          forecast precipitation for the next 48 Hours.

$$

 FCSTR EXT: 2535




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