Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 280208
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MEZ000-MAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/28/15 0207Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 0145Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU: 0020Z 2215Z   DMSP SSMIS: 2230Z 2200Z 2130Z
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LOCATION...MAINE...E MASSACHUSETTS...EXT E NEW HAMPSHIRE
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ATTN WFOS...CAR...GYX...BOX...
ATTN RFCS...NERFC...
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EVENT...MAIN DEFORMATION BAND SHOWING SOME SLOW WEAKENING WESTERN
MAINE...FEW STRANGLING SMALLER BANDS STILL TRYING TO HOLD ON E NEW
HAMPSHIRE INTO E MA AND SPOTTY BAND  C MA INTO E CT/RI...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...ENHANCED IR LOOP ANALYSIS  ALONG WITH
BUOY AND SHIP REPORTS GIVING AN ESTIMATING SPOTTING OF LOW OFFSHORE
NEAR 42,2n/68.0W AND REALLY DRIFTING SLOWLY TOWARD THE GULF OF MAINE.
MAX MICROWAVE PRECIP WATER VALUES NEAR CENTER LOOKED TO BE DOWN A BIT TO
0.60" AS DRY AIR ENCIRCLING THE LOW AND HAS QUITE AN EFFECT ON WHERE THE
SIGNIFICANT SNOW HAS PUSHED WEST IN MAINE.   BUT NOT COOLING CLOUD TOPS
TRYING TO WORK INTO DOWNEAST MAINE...SO WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THAT.
BUT MAIN DEFORMATION BAND THAT HAS BOTH NARROWED AND SHIFTED WEST THRU
WESTERN MAINE AND EXTENDING A BIT INTO EASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH SOME
MODERATE/LOCALLY HVY SNOW.  ANOTHER MUCH WEAKER BAND MORE ORIENTED NW
TO SE E NH ON NORTHEAST MA AND EXTENDING TO PART OF THE CAPE AND ISLANDS
WAS MUCH WEAKER BUT HAD SOME SLIGHT COOLING CLOUD TOPS AND STILL HANGING
ON FOR A BURST OR TWO OF SNOW...BUT SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER OVERALL THAT
EARLIER BANDS.    ORPHAN BAND CENTRAL MA..PARTS OF RI EVEN WEAKER BUT
COULD HAVE AN OCCL BURST OF SNOW...BUT WOULD THINK THE LAST TWO BANDS
DESCRIBED HANGING ON BY A THREAT AND PROBABLY OF NOT MUCH CONSEQUENCE
IN THE STORM BUT JUST FIGHTING OFF DRIER AIR TRYING TO INVADE THE WEST
SIDE OF STORM AS MOISTURE VALUES AND ADVECTION WEAKENING SLOWLY ON THAT
IMMEDIATE WEST SIDE OF THE STORM.  BUT WHERE BANDS HANGING ON, EVEN IN A
FRACTURED STATE.CAN STILL GIVE A BURST OR TWO OF LIGHT TO MODERATE/OCCLY
HVY  SNOWS.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0200-0500Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...BEGINNING OF A SLOW WEAKENING TO MAIN DEFORMATION
BAND BOTH NARROWING AND INTENSITY WESTERN MAINE INTO NEW HAMPSHIRE CURING
SE INTO PARTS OF EASTERN MA (MOSTLY PARTS OF THE CAPE AND ISLANDS.
LESS ORGANIZATION, MEANS MORE HIT AND MISS AND A LARGER AREA OF LIGHT
OR NOTHING..SO BASIC TREND IS WEAKENING OR TWO STEP FORWARD AND MAYBE
ONE STEP BACK TO MORE NORMAL WEATHER OVERNIGHT.    DRY AIR CONTINUING
TO WRAP AROUND LOW AND PENETRATE SOME, BUT ALSO SLOW MOVEMENT OF STORM
INTO GULF OF MAINE THIS PERIOD. AND WITH LESS MOISTURE, YOU GET LESS
ADVECTION AND LESS SUSTAINING OF BAND(S), ESPECIALLY ON WEST SIDE..BUT
CERTAINLY NOT COMPLETELY ENDING LIKE WITH OTHER TYPES OF STORMS THAT
NORMALLY PULL NE QUICKLY.  SEE LATEST NCEP WPC QPF AND WINTER WEATHER
GRAPHICS AND DISCUSSION FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4581 6918 4400 6997 4141 6984 4373 7097
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