Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
Issued by NWS

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ACPN50 PHFO 072351
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST TUE JUL 7 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1075 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII
CONTINUE TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE
WILL LIKELY FORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.

2. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST NEAR A WEAK...NEARLY
STATIONARY...SURFACE LOW LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
HILO...HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED...AND ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT
IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

3. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII
CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.


$$

GIBBS





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