Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
164
FNUS53 KAPX 110840
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
440 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024
...Showers today...
.DISCUSSION...Low pressure will move slowly across northern lower
Michigan and Lake Huron into this evening. Showers will continue
today. Precipitation will gradually taper off from west to east.
Parts of northwest lower Michigan will see rain end by early
afternoon, while showers could linger into this evening along the
Lake Huron coastline. Northerly breezes will develop today as the
low moves away, and a few gusts of 20 to 25 mph will be possible
by afternoon. Humidity levels will be high today.
After a break tonight, a chance for showers returns on Sunday,
along with a light southwest breeze.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-112200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
440 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers until
1200, then numerous rain showers.
Max Temperature.....50-55.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler...except 8 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
24 HR Trend......48 percent wetter...except 30 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (387).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.42 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 2400. Patchy fog and frost after
2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1200, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy frost
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70...except around 60 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer...except 9 degrees warmer
near the coast.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......34 percent drier...except 22 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (571).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph increasing to south
around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-112200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
440 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Isolated thunderstorms
until 1200. Rain showers.
Max Temperature.....51-56...except 44-49 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
24 HR Trend......43 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (334).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the north around
15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.75 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Isolated rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41...except 43-48 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in .
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68...except 54-59 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......30 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (483).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
$$
MIZ020-025>027-112200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
440 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....52-57...except around 50 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler...except 6 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
24 HR Trend......33 percent wetter...except 25 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (608).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.19 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Patchy fog and
frost after 2400.
Min Temperature.....33-38...except 42-47 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy frost
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 49-54 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......18 degrees warmer...except 13 degrees warmer
near the coast.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
24 HR Trend......26 percent drier...except 19 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (619).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph increasing to southwest
around 21 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
$$
MIZ031>033-112200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
440 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....53-58.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler...except 6 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
24 HR Trend......30 percent wetter...except 20 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (868).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Patchy fog and
frost after 2400.
Min Temperature.....34-39.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy frost
until 1200. Chance of rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
24 HR Trend......15 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
24 HR Trend......26 percent drier...except 19 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (655).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph increasing to around 21
mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-112200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
440 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Scattered rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....52-57.
24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
24 HR Trend......40 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (570).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.35 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated rain
showers until 2400. Patchy frost after 2400.
Min Temperature.....37-42.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......30 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (726).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
$$
.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. PATCHY FOG. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
JZ