Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
254 FNUS28 KWNS 022135 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0433 PM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z Relatively benign fire weather conditions are expected over the weekend. However, by the end of the weekend and into early next week a strong trough is expected to develop across the western CONUS with strong mid-level flow across the Southwest and lee cyclogenesis in the Plains. This will result in several days of severe weather concern across portions of the southern High Plains. ...D4/Sun-D7/Wed - Southern High Plains... Operational and ensemble guidance has come into agreement for several days of strong mid-level flow across the Southwest and a large lee cyclone in the central/northern Plains. This pattern will support several days of Critical fire weather conditions. Some dry and breezy conditions may begin as early as Sunday afternoon as stronger mid-level flow emerges across New Mexico ahead of the approaching mid-level trough. The strongest winds are likely on Monday and Tuesday when sustained winds over 30 mph and relative humidity in the single digits appears likely. At this time it appears Wednesday should be the last day of significant fire weather concern as confidence is growing for a strong cold front to surge south across the Plains and bring cooler weather toward the end of next week. ..Bentley.. 05/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$