Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
706 FNUS53 KDTX 070707 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 307 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024 .DISCUSSION...High pressure will depart to the east today. Dry air will hold on across the area into early afternoon. An approaching warm front will then cause humidity values to increase and will support numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms this evening. Warmer and drier air will then advance into the area for Wednesday. A low pressure system will bring the next chance for rain to the area Thursday. Northeast winds on Thursday will contribute to much cooler temperatures. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-072115- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 307 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms after 2 pm until 5 pm, then numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....66-70. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Min humidity........39-49 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast 15 to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3510-4010 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (726). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 am, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Numerous rain showers and scattered thunderstorms until 11 pm, then scattered showers until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Min temperature.....50-56. 24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer. Max humidity........91-100 percent. 24 hr trend......20 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast around 15 mph becoming southwest in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......510-710 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming southwest in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (40). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Max temperature.....68-74. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Min humidity........37-47 percent. 24 hr trend......1 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest early in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6270-6770 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1589). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-072115- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 307 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....64-68. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........37-47 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast 15 to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3350-3850 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (673). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 am, then partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Numerous rain showers and scattered thunderstorms until 11 pm, then scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....48-54. 24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer. Max humidity........98 percent. 24 hr trend......17 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast around 15 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......960-1160 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming west after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32). Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max temperature.....66-72. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........38-48 percent. 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest early in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6590-7090 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1832). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-072115- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 307 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms after 2 pm until 5 pm, then numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....68-74. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Min humidity........37-47 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph becoming southeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2930-3430 ft agl. Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph becoming southeast 15 to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (564). Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Numerous rain showers and scattered thunderstorms until 11 pm, then scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Min temperature.....52-56. 24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer. Max humidity........94-100 percent. 24 hr trend......26 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast around 10 mph becoming southwest in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......960-1160 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming west in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23). Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Max temperature.....76-80. 24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer. Min humidity........29-39 percent. 24 hr trend......18 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest around 10 mph becoming west 20 to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......7210-7710 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (2094). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds around 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds around 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. $$ SC