Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FXUS63 KEAX 230522
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1122 PM CST Thu Jan 22 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 301 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015

Stratocumulus deck has been very slow to clear the area this
afternoon, but gradual clearing will work in from the west early this
evening with 925 hPa height rises building in.

Return to southwesterly surface flow will allow temperatures to rise
into the mid/upper 40s on Friday and into the 50s on Saturday. A
clipper dropping into the Great Lakes will bring some precipitation
to that region on Sunday, some of which could make it as far southeast
as Kirksville/Macon along a trailing cold front. Temperatures both
at the surface and in the 925-850 hPa layer will be supportive of all
rain with any precipitation that falls across these areas. It`s
looking increasingly unlikely that precipitation can reach any
further west than the Bethany/Chillicothe areas.

Temperatures will briefly fall back into the 40s on Monday behind
Sunday`s system, then quickly return into the 50s for Tuesday through
Thursday. Could even see some 60s if the warmer ECMWF were to verify.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday Night)
Issued at 1110 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015

VFR conditions should prevail through the TAF period at all four
terminals, although as of the last ob, MKC was teetering right on
the MVFR/VFR line. Any lingering clouds across portions of west-
central MO should continue to dissipate as the night progresses.
Calm to very light winds will also prevail through early Friday,
increasing through the day as a pressure gradient tightens over
the region.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Hawblitzel
AVIATION...lg






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