Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 182354

National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
654 PM CDT Tue Oct 18 2016

Issued at 301 PM CDT TUE OCT 18 2016

Cold front that slid through the region this morning has pushed to
near the I-44 corridor where it will remain quasi-stationary
overnight. A broad upper wave tracking across the area late tonight
into Wednesday will interact with this boundary with several areas of
rain and thunderstorms developing mainly to the south of the forecast
area through the day. Some of this activity could make it as far
north as Sedalia and Boonville, but drier near-surface air will
prevent precipitation from spreading much further north than this.

The upper wave will pass through the area on Thursday bringing a
reinforcing shot of cooler air to the region. Highs Thursday will
only be in the upper 50s and lower 60s with lows dropping into the
upper 30s to near 40 Thursday night. Broad ridging building into the
area will bring a slow moderation in temperatures for the end of the
week with highs returning into the 70s over the weekend.


.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday Evening)
Issued at 634 PM CDT TUE OCT 18 2016

With a dry atmosphere in place, along with surface high pressure
knocking on the area`s doorstep this evening, skies will remain
clear overnight at the terminals. Winds are also on the decline this
evening and will be light through tonight. Under these atmospheric
conditions, plus the terrain-induced effects with the vicinity of
STJ, could see some patchy fog developing as a result of the nearby
river. Should any fog develop in the STJ area, indications are
pointing to the fog being relatively light with low impact to the
terminal area. Therefore, have included mention in this TAF issuance
for a few hours in the pre-dawn to dawn hours but remaining above

As an upper-level disturbance approaches the region later tomorrow,
cloud cover will be on the increase, especially closer toward a
stalled frontal boundary currently draped across southern MO. Winds
will primarily be out of the ENE as the aforementioned surface high
breaks down. Better precipitation chances should remain to the south
and east of all four terminals late Wednesday.




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