Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
402 FNUS53 KGRR 111953 FWFGRR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 353 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024 ...Dry tonight and Sunday then showers and storms Sunday night... .DISCUSSION... Skies will clear out tonight and we will be cool with lows in the upper 30s across Central Lower Michigan. We will be dry both tonight and most of Sunday as high pressure drifts through the area. A cold front will bring showers and storms to the area Sunday evening and Sunday night. The most numerous showers and storms will occur Sunday evening across Central Lower Michigan. MIZ037>039-043>045-120815- Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta- Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart, Fremont, and Big Rapids 353 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent) until 5 AM, then partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min temperature.....36-41. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 6 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 100-600 ft AGL. Mixing height.......Inland, 2200-2700 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the west overnight. Smoke dispersal.....40-400 (poor to good). Pcpn Amount.........None. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max temperature.....68-73. 24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer. Min humidity........45-50 percent near Lake Michigan and 36-41 percent Inland. 24 hr trend......19 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 10 percent drier Inland. 20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 3500-4000 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest around 20 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....610-1050 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 11 PM, then mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 AM, then partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Rain showers likely until 2 AM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of rain showers after 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Min temperature.....48-53. 24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer. Max humidity........91-96 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....80-170 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.29 in. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain showers. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Max temperature.....62-67 near Lake Michigan and 70-75 Inland. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler near Lake Michigan and unchanged Inland. Min humidity........56-61 percent near Lake Michigan and 39-44 percent Inland. 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 18 percent wetter Inland. 20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 4900-5400 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....380-530 (good). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in. $$ MIZ040-046-120815- Clare-Isabella- Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant 353 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Min temperature.....Around 38. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Max humidity........91-96 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....40-490 (poor to good). Pcpn Amount.........None. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of rain showers after 11 AM until 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......20 percent through early afternoon. Max temperature.....Around 71. 24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer. Min humidity........38-43 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....520 (good) increasing to 1110 (excellent) in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 11 PM, then mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 AM, then partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Rain showers likely until 2 AM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of rain showers after 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Min temperature.....51-56. 24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer. Max humidity........88-93 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....100-160 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.29 in. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. Max temperature.....Around 75. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Min humidity........37-42 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....500-710 (good to excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in. $$ MIZ050-056-064-071-120815- Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren- Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland, and South Haven 353 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Min temperature.....41-46. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Max humidity........88-93 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1600-2100 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the southwest overnight. Smoke dispersal.....30-180 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........None. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Max temperature.....73-78. 24 hr trend......18 degrees warmer. Min humidity........37-42 percent. 24 hr trend......18 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1800-2300 ft AGL. Mixing height.......Inland, 3400-3900 ft AGL increasing to 6500-7000 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....620 (excellent) increasing to 1480 (excellent) in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Min temperature.....51-56. 24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer. Max humidity........85-90 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....130-150 (fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.11 in. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Max temperature.....73-78. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........50-55 percent. 24 hr trend......18 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 4800-5300 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....920-1010 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in. $$ MIZ051-052-057>059-120815- Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton- Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia, and St. Johns 353 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Min temperature.....Around 41. 24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler. Max humidity........91-96 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 7 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....40-240 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........None. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max temperature.....71-76. 24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer. Min humidity........38-43 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....620 (excellent) increasing to 1220 (excellent) in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 11 PM, then mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 AM, then partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Rain showers likely until 2 AM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of rain showers after 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Min temperature.....54-59. 24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer. Max humidity........85-90 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....160 (fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.15 in. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Max temperature.....72-77. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........43-48 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....860-910 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.23 in. $$ MIZ065>067-072>074-120815- Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson- Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo, Battle Creek, and Jackson 353 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....Around 41. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Max humidity........91-96 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....50-260 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........None. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Max temperature.....72-77. 24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer. Min humidity........36-41 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL increasing to 6600-7100 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....580 (good) increasing to 1420 (excellent) in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in. .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Min temperature.....Around 58. 24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer. Max humidity........78-83 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph overnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....150 (fair). Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 AM. Showers likely after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 77. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........48-53 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1370-1540 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.23 in. $$ .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the northeast overnight. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds 6 to 11 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 8 to 13 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. $$