Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
700
FNUS53 KGRR 021927
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
327 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
...Wet Tonight into Friday...
.DISCUSSION...Showers and thundestorms will become numerous
this evening as a wave of low pressure moves in. An associated
cold front swings through on Friday ending the precipitation.
MIZ037>039-043>045-030815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
327 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers and a
chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....46-51.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.27-0.78 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 PM, then
mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms until 11 AM. Chance of rain
showers until 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent near Lake Michigan and 32-37
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......4 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 2
percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3500-4000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....350-620 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....42-47.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent near Lake Michigan and 38-43
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
24 hr trend......
20-foot winds.......East winds around 9 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4800-5300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-630 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ040-046-030815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
327 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely and
a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.12-0.38 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 5 PM, then
mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms until 2 PM. Chance of rain
showers until 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 6 mph shifting to the
north around 7 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph shifting to the north in the
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....210-570 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....41-46.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....480-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-030815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
327 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
until 10 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain
showers after 10 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.23-0.66 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 5 PM, then
mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Rain showers
likely and a chance of thunderstorms until 11
AM, then a chance of rain showers until 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3100-3600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....290-540 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.22 in.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....47-52.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 8 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3900-4400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....470-480 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-030815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
327 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
until 11 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain
showers likely after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.56 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
likely until 11 AM. Chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of rain showers after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 6 mph shifting to the
north around 8 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph shifting to the north in the
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....220-480 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.36 in.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....47-52.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....450-510 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-030815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
327 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 11 PM. Chance of thunderstorms.
Rain showers likely after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....55-60.
24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.41 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely until 5 PM. Chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of rain showers after 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest around 8 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph shifting to the northwest in
the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-380 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.39 in.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....320-350 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
5 to 7 mph shifting to the west 5 to 6 mph overnight.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 7 to
12 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds
6 to 11 mph shifting to the east 7 to 12 mph overnight.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds 9 to
14 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers overnight. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers until midday, then
showers likely in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds
12 to 17 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight.
Lows in the mid 50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs
in the mid 70s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s.
$$