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Extended Streamflow Prediction
Issued by NWS Missouri Basin, Pleasant Hill
Issued by NWS Missouri Basin, Pleasant Hill
000
FGUS63 KKRF 151743
ESPKRF
ESPKRF
MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
WATER SUPPLY STATEMENT
ISSUED IN COOPERATION WITH NATURAL RESOURCES CONSERVATION SERVICE
ISSUED: MARCH 15, 2013
UPPER MISSOURI BASIN
THE HIGH ELEVATION SNOW PACK IN THE UPPER MISSOURI BASIN AS OF
MARCH 1 WAS NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE. THE SNOW PACK ABOVE
TOSTON, MONTANA WAS 97 PERCENT OF AVERAGE. THE SNOW PACK BETWEEN
TOSTON AND FORT PECK, MONTANA WAS 97 PERCENT. THE SNOW PACK IN
THE ST MARY AND MILK RIVER BASINS WAS 109 PERCENT.
FEBRUARY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE UPPER MISSOURI BASIN WAS BELOW
AVERAGE. BASIN PRECIPITATION SUMMARIES FOR THE MISSOURI BASIN
INCLUDE: MILK ST. MARY, 88 PERCENT; MILK CANADA, 25 PERCENT;
LOWER MILK, 6 PERCENT; ABOVE TOSTON, 30 PERCENT; TOSTON TO
FT. PECK, 19 PERCENT.
STREAM FLOW IN THE UPPER MISSOURI BASIN IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE DURING THE UPCOMING SPRING AND SUMMER. THE
ST. MARY RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE 102 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
APRIL-SEPTEMBER FLOWS. RUNOFF IS EXPECTED TO RANGE AROUND 90 PERCENT
OF AVERAGE FOR THE MISSOURI BASIN ABOVE FORT PECK, MONTANA.
OF THE FOUR MAJOR IRRIGATION RESERVOIRS IN MONTANA: LIMA RESERVOIR
HAD 135 PERCENT AVERAGE STORAGE, CLARK CANYON WAS HOLDING 98 PERCENT
OF AVERAGE WATER, GIBSON RESERVOIR HAD 39 PERCENT OF AVERAGE STORED
WATER, AND FRESNO RESERVOIR HAD 111 PERCENT OF AVERAGE STORED WATER.
THE MAJOR HYDROELECTRIC RESERVOIRS IN MONTANA (CANYON FERRY AND
FORT PECK) HAD MONTHEND STORAGE IN THE AVERAGE RANGE; 101 AND 99 PERCENT
OF AVERAGE WATER, RESPECTIVELY.
YELLOWSTONE BASIN
THE HIGH ELEVATION SNOW PACK IN THE YELLOWSTONE BASIN WAS NEAR TO
SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE ON MARCH 1. THE SNOW PACK IN THE
UPPER YELLOWSTONE BASIN WAS 93 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL. THE SNOW
PACKS IN THE WIND, BIGHORN, AND SHOSHONE BASINS WERE 86, 93, AND 93
PERCENT OF AVERAGE, RESPECTIVELY. THE SNOW PACKS IN THE TONGUE AND
POWDER BASINS WERE 83 AND 96 PERCENT OF AVERAGE, RESPECTIVELY.
PRECIPITATION DURING FEBRUARY WAS BELOW AVERAGE. THE UPPER
YELLOWSTONE RIVER BASIN RECEIVED 28 PERCENT OF AVERAGE PRECIPITATION
WHILE THE LOWER YELLOWSTONE BASIN REPORTED 8 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.
THE BIGHORN BASIN RECEIVED 24 PERCENT OF AVERAGE PRECIPITATION WHILE
THE WIND RIVER BASIN RECEIVED 34 PERCENT OF AVERAGE. THE LITTLE
BIGHORN - UPPER TONGUE BASIN RECEIVED 38 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
AND THE POWDER RIVER HAD 16 PERCENT OF AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.
FORECAST STREAM FLOW IN THE YELLOWSTONE BASIN IS FORECAST BELOW AVERAGE
FOR THE UPCOMING SPRING AND SUMMER. STREAM FLOW FOR THE WIND-BIGHORN
BASIN ABOVE ST. XAVIER, MONTANA IS FORECAST TO BE ABOUT 76 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE. FLOW IN THE TONGUE BASIN IS EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT 82 PERCENT
OF AVERAGE. FLOWS IN THE POWDER RIVER ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT 91
PERCENT OF AVERAGE.
MONTHEND STORAGE AT BOYSEN RESERVOIR WAS 97 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.
STORED WATER IN BUFFALO BILL RESERVOIR WAS 123 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.
MONTHEND STORAGE WAS 108 PERCENT OF AVERAGE AT BIGHORN RESERVOIR.
PLATTE BASIN
THE HIGH ELEVATION SNOW PACK IN THE UPPER NORTH PLATTE BASIN WAS
74 PERCENT OF AVERAGE ON MARCH 1. THE SNOW PACK IN THE NORTH
PLATTE BASIN BELOW SEMINOE RESERVOIR WAS 28 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.
THE SNOW PACK IN THE SOUTH PLATTE BASIN WAS 62 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.
FEBRUARY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE PLATTE BASIN WAS BELOW AVERAGE.
PRECIPITATION IN THE NORTH PLATTE BASIN ABOVE SEMINOE
RESERVOIR WAS 55 PERCENT OF AVERAGE. IN THE NORTH PLATTE BASIN BETWEEN
SEMINOE RESERVOIR AND GUERNSY RESERVOIR PRECIPITATION WAS 32 PERCENT
OF AVERAGE. THE NORTH PLATTE BASIN BELOW GUERNSY RESERVOIR HAD 20 PERCENT
OF AVERAGE PRECIPITATION. THE HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTH PLATTE
BASIN HAD 51 PERCENT OF AVERAGE PRECIPITATION WHEREAS THE PLAINS HAD
27 PERCENT OF AVERAGE FEBRUARY PRECIPITATION.
STREAM FLOW IN THE PLATTE BASIN IS FORECAST TO BE BELOW AVERAGE
DURING THE UPCOMING SPRING AND SUMMER. RUNOFF FOR STREAMS
ABOVE SEMINOE RESERVOIR ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM AROUND 40 TO 65
PERCENT OF AVERAGE. STREAM FLOWS FOR THE NORTH PLATTE BELOW SEMINOE
RESERVOIR ARE FORECAST TO BE 35 TO 45 PERCENT OF AVERAGE. STREAMS
IN THE SOUTH PLATTE BASIN ABOVE SOUTH PLATTE, COLORADO CAN EXPECT
45 TO 55 PERCENT OF AVERAGE FLOW. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTH
PLATTE BASIN FLOWS ARE EXPECTED VARY FROM 55 TO 65 PERCENT OF AVERAGE.
STORED WATER IN THE SOUTH PLATTE BASIN WAS 82 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
ON MARCH 1. STORED WATER IN THE NORTH PLATTE BASIN WAS 89
PERCENT OF AVERAGE
WATER SUPPLY FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER, PLEASANT HILL, MO
ISSUED: MARCH 12, 2013
THESE FORECASTS WERE PROVIDED BY:
USDA NRCS NATIONAL WATER & CLIMATE CENTER
* - DATA CURRENT AS OF: MARCH 04, 2013 07:17:32 PM
- BASED ON MARCH 01, 2013 FORECAST VALUES
50% % OF MAX MIN 30-YR AVE
FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (%AVE) (%AVE) (KAF)
-------------- ------ ------ ---- ----- ----- -----
SASKATCHEWAN RIVER BASIN
ST. MARY RIVER
BABB, MT NEAR APR-SEP 435 102 119 86 425
MISSOURI RIVER BASIN
RED ROCK RIVER
LIMA RES INFLOW, MT (2) APR-SEP 79 89 135 43 89
BEAVERHEAD RIVER
CLARK CANYON INFLOW, MT (2) APR-SEP 113 94 171 17 120
BARRETTS, MT (2) APR-SEP 153 98 189 6 156
BIG HOLE RIVER
MELROSE, MT NEAR APR-SEP 465 83 123 43 560
RUBY RIVER
RUBY RESERVOIR INFLOW, MT (2) APR-SEP 81 89 125 53 91
MADISON RIVER
HEBGEN RES INFLOW, MT (2) APR-SEP 430 91 109 74 470
ENNIS RESERVOIR INFLOW (2) APR-SEP 695 90 111 68 775
GALLATIN RIVER
GALLATIN GATEWAY, MT NEAR APR-SEP 455 97 121 72 470
LOGAN, MT APR-SEP 485 96 135 57 505
MISSOURI RIVER
TOSTON, MT (2) APR-SEP 1870 90 129 51 2070
FORT BENTON, MT (2) APR-SEP 2790 90 129 50 3110
VIRGELLE, MT NEAR (2) APR-SEP 3150 89 129 50 3520
LANDUSKY, MT NEAR (2) APR-SEP 3340 90 129 51 3720
FORT PECK DAM, MT BELOW (2) APR-SEP 3260 88 134 43 3700
LAKE SAKAKAWEA INFLOW, ND(2) APR-SEP 8060 86 127 45 9400
SHEEP CREEK
WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS, MT APR-SEP 19.1 104 141 67 18.4
SUN RIVER
GIBSON RES INFLOW, MT (2) APR-SEP 405 92 117 67 440
MARIAS RIVER
SHELBY, MT NEAR (2) APR-SEP 345 96 149 43 360
MUSSELSHELL RIVER
DELPINE, MT (N FK) APR-SEP 5.0 100 144 56 5.0
MARTINSDALE, MT ABOVE(S FK) APR-SEP 30 79 153 7 38
HARLOWTON, MT (2) APR-SEP 49 83 188 0 59
YELLOWSTONE RIVER
YELLOWSTONE LAKE OUTLET, MT APR-SEP 660 86 105 66 770
CORWIN SPRINGS, MT APR-SEP 1680 89 109 70 1880
MILK RIVER
WESTERN CROSSING, MT (3) MAR-SEP 34 104 142 74 33
EASTERN CROSSING, MT (2,3) MAR-SEP 70 87 109 64 81 50% % OF MAX MIN 30-YR AVE
FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (%AVE) (%AVE) (KAF)
-------------- ------ ------ ---- ----- ----- -----
YELLOWSTONE RIVER
LIVINGSTON, MT APR-SEP 1920 90 111 68 2140
BILLINGS, MT APR-SEP 3270 88 117 58 3730
MILES CITY, MT (2) APR-SEP 4610 85 120 50 5450
SIDNEY, MT (2) APR-SEP 4530 83 124 43 5430
BOULDER RIVER
BIG TIMBER, MT APR-SEP 290 97 125 68 300
STILLWATER RIVER
ABSAROKEE, MT NEAR (2) APR-SEP 460 88 113 64 520
CLARKS FORK YELLOWSTONE RIVER
BELFRY, MT NEAR APR-SEP 495 90 110 70 550
WIND RIVER
BOYSEN RES INFLOW WY (2) APR-SEP 485 73 138 8 665
BIGHORN RIVER
KANE, WY (2) APR-SEP 685 76 138 13 905
ST. XAVIER, MT NEAR (2) APR-SEP 1160 79 128 31 1460
GREYBULL RIVER
MEETEETSE, WY APR-SEP 164 93 119 66 177
SHELL CREEK
SHELL, WY NR APR-SEP 62 94 120 68 66
SHOSHONE RIVER
BUFFALO BILL RES INFL, MT(2) APR-SEP 665 89 113 66 745
LITTLE BIGHORN RIVER
HARDIN, MT NEAR APR-SEP 89 80 127 33 111
TONGUE RIVER
DAYTON, MT NEAR (2) APR-SEP 84 86 120 51 98
TONGUE RIVER RES INFLOW (2) APR-SEP 165 77 130 23 215
ROCK CREEK
BUFFALO, WY NEAR APR-SEP 19.5 89 127 51 22.0
NORTH FORK POWDER RIVER
HAZELTON, WY NEAR APR-SEP 10.4 105 139 71 9.9
POWDER RIVER
MOORHEAD, MT APR-SEP 178 91 151 31 196
LOCATE, MT APR-SEP 200 91 157 25 220
NORTH PLATTE RIVER
NORTHGATE, CO NEAR APR-SEP 95 38 88 12 250
ENCAMPMENT RIVER
ENCAMPMENT, WY NEAR APR-SEP 90 65 98 33 138
ROCK CREEK
ARLINGTON, WY NEAR APR-SEP 37 71 104 38 52
SEMINOE RESERVOIR INFLOW (2)
SEMINOE RESERVOIR INFL, WY(2) APR-SEP 355 46 106 14 770
SWEETWATER RIVER
ALCOVA, WY NEAR APR-SEP 26 41 91 12 64
50% % OF MAX MIN 30-YR AVE
FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (%AVE) (%AVE) (KAF)
-------------- ------ ------ ---- ----- ----- -----
NORTH PLATTE RIVER
GLENDO RES, WY BELOW (2) APR-SEP 295 35 68 2 850
GUERNSEY RES, WY BELOW (2) APR-SEP 295 35 75 13 850
LARAMIE RIVER
WOODS, WY NEAR APR-SEP 88 70 101 39 126
LITTLE LARAMIE RIVER
FILMORE, WY NEAR APR-SEP 36 65 105 25 55
SOUTH PLATTE RIVER
ANTERO RES INFLOW, CO (2) APR-SEP 8.4 47 96 24 17.8
SPINNEY MOUNTAIN RES INFLO(2) APR-SEP 34 56 111 28 61
ELEVENMILE CANYON RES INFLO(2)APR-SEP 35 55 116 26 64
CHEESMAN LAKE INFLOW, CO (2) APR-SEP 69 55 117 25 126
SOUTH PLATTE, CO (2) APR-SEP 119 53 116 24 225
BEAR CREEK
EVERGREEN, CO ABOVE APR-SEP 14.2 68 152 30 21.0
MORRISON, CO APR-SEP 17.0 61 157 23 28.0
CLEAR CREEK
GOLDEN, CO NEAR APR-SEP 87 68 101 35 128
ST. VRAIN CREEK
LYONS, CO (2) APR-SEP 62 60 84 36 103
BOULDER CREEK, S. BOULDER CR
ORODELL, CO NEAR (2) APR-SEP 39 62 84 40 63
ELDORADO SPRINGS, CO NEAR (2) APR-SEP 59 65 77 53 91
BIG THOMPSON RIVER
CANYON MOUTH, CO (2) APR-SEP 59 55 81 29 107
CACHE LA POUDRE RIVER
CANYON MOUTH, CO (2) APR-SEP 162 65 100 29 250
MAX IS 90TH PERCENTILE AND MIN IS 10TH PERCENTILE EXCEPT WITH FOOTNOTE 1 BELOW.
AVERAGES ARE FOR THE 1981-2010 PERIOD.
ALL VOLUMES ARE IN THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET.
FOOTNOTES:
1) MAX IS 95TH PERCENTILE AND MIN IS 5TH PERCENTILE
2) STREAMFLOW IS ADJUSTED FOR UPSTREAM STORAGE
3) MEDIAN VALUE USED IN PLACE OF AVERAGE
$$
- National Weather Service
- Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO Weather Forecast Office
- 1803 North 7 Highway
- Pleasant Hill, MO 64080-9421
- 816-540-6021
- Page Author: EAX Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: w-eax.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: May 1st, 2013 15:32 UTC