Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
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644 FXUS64 KOUN 281730 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 1230 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 153 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 MCS and lingering line of storms will continue to affect portions of southeast Oklahoma today. This will include a severe and flooding risk to go along with it. Most of the activity should shift east of the area during the afternoon hours. Will keep a portion of the flood watch for this area into the afternoon hours and will drop counties farther west from the watch. The remainder of the area will get a respite after a long day and night of severe weather. Otherwise, lighter winds, mild temperatures and clearing skies will make for a more tranquil day today across much of western and central sections of the area. Slightly drier air, clear skies and lighter winds will allow temperatures tonight to drop into the 40s and 50s across much of the area. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through Saturday) Issued at 153 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 Quiet weather expected Monday in the wake of the weekend storm system. South winds return in earnest by Tuesday as surface pressure gradient tightens in response to shortwave trough moving through the northern Plains. The lower level winds will be veered bringing in much warmer air from the west with temperatures climbing to 80s and low/mid 90s. Southwest flow returns by midweek and a southern stream trough may bring an increasing chance of storms. Sufficient instability will be present for a few severe storms to be possible. A strong cold front still appears on track to move through late Thursday into Friday which should bring a cooler, drier airmass into the area for at least the first part of next weekend. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1227 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 MVFR ceilings will continue to slowly improve this afternoon. VFR ceilings are then expected until early Monday when MVFR ceilings will be possible again mainly in parts of southern OK and north TX. Some patchy BR will also be possible at a few sites early Monday, with the highest potential at KDUA. A few storms could also develop later this afternoon primarily affecting KDUA but chances currently too low to put in TAF. Winds will slowly shift and become light tonight then become SE Monday morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 79 54 80 61 / 20 0 10 0 Hobart OK 79 51 82 60 / 0 0 10 0 Wichita Falls TX 81 55 83 63 / 10 0 0 0 Gage OK 76 45 82 57 / 10 0 10 0 Ponca City OK 79 48 78 57 / 40 0 0 10 Durant OK 78 60 82 60 / 90 0 0 0 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...30 LONG TERM....30 AVIATION...25