Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 042316
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
616 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015

...UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 310 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015

A LARGE BROAD RIDGE IS STILL PRESENT ACROSS THE EASTERN 2/3RDS OF
THE CONUS. THE RIDGE IS KEEPING TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL FOR
EARLY SEPTEMBER. HIGHS TODAY ARE AGAIN JUST LIKE THE EARLIER PART
OF THE WEEK WITH TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S ACROSS MUCH OF
KANSAS AND IN THE LOW 90S OVER EASTERN KANSAS. SOUTHERLY WIND ARE
GUSTY AROUND 20 TO 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015

THE MAIN SHORT TERM FORECAST CONCERN IS THE TIMING OF THE FRONT
TOWARDS THE LATER END OF THE WEEKEND AND THEN PRECIPITATION
CHANCES FOR MONDAY.

THE WEEKEND LOOKS LARGELY SIMILAR TO WHAT THE WORK WEEK WAS LIKE.
WARM TO HOT FOR EARLY SEPTEMBER...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS. SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND DAYTIME TEMPS
WILL TOP OUT IN THE 90S WITH CENTRAL KANSAS APPROACHING 100 EACH
DAY.

THE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN ON SUNDAY AS A DISTURBANCE
MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA/NORTHERN CONUS. THIS DISTURBANCE
WILL PUSH A FRONT SOUTHWARD...BUT WITH THE MAIN ENERGY SO FAR
NORTH...IT WILL STALL OUT OVER KANSAS BEFORE RETREATING BACK
NORTHWARD. CURRENTLY IT LOOKS LIKE THE FRONT WILL BEGIN TO TRACK
ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS LATE SUNDAY. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT AND THROUGHOUT THE DAY MONDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER ON MONDAY...BUT WITH THE
FRONT STALLING OUT...MID TO UPPER 90S MAY STILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR
THE OKLAHOMA/KANSAS BORDER.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015

THIS PERIOD IS MORE ACTIVE AS ZONAL FLOW RETURNS AS THE UPPER
DISTURBANCE MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN BORDER OF THE
CONUS. THE STALLED FRONT WILL INCREASE PRECIPITATION CHANCES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. A STRONGER
DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY THE END OF
THE WORK WEEK WHICH WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGHOUT
FRIDAY BEFORE IT CLEARS OUT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MORE
MILD...NEARER TO NORMAL IN THE 80S FOR THE WORK WEEK.

BILLINGS WRIGHT

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 610 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015

LEE TROUGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY WITH A PREVAILING
SOUTHERLY WIND COMPONENT...INCLUDING DIURNAL GUSTS OF 25-30 KNOTS
IN CENTRAL/SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. SCATTERED MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH VFR CONDITIONS.

JMC

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    72  95  75  97 /   0   0   0  10
HUTCHINSON      73  95  75  98 /   0   0   0  10
NEWTON          71  94  74  96 /   0   0   0  10
ELDORADO        72  94  74  96 /   0   0   0  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   72  94  74  97 /   0   0   0  10
RUSSELL         75  98  75 100 /  10   0  10  10
GREAT BEND      74  97  75  99 /  10   0  10  10
SALINA          75  97  77  98 /  10   0  10  20
MCPHERSON       71  95  74  97 /  10   0   0  20
COFFEYVILLE     72  93  73  95 /   0   0   0  10
CHANUTE         72  93  73  94 /   0   0   0  10
IOLA            72  92  73  94 /   0   0   0  10
PARSONS-KPPF    73  93  74  95 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$



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