Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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175
FXUS63 KOAX 291214
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
714 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

.SHORT TERM...(today through Wednesday)
Issued at 349 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

Models continue to advertise large scale pattern becoming well
amplified over the next couple days with an upper ridge becoming
established over the central conus by mid week. Meanwhile...influx
of gulf moisture into the central plains will continue until
surface building in from the north advects a drier air mass into
the CWA. POPs in going forecast look reasonable for now as models
persist in showing several impulses undercutting the developing
upper ridge will help maintain potential for precip activity
across the majority of the central plains. Thus...moderate
instability coupled with moisture rich environment will be enough
to pop off mostly scattered TSRA from this afternoon through about
Wednesday afternoon. Dry air mass filtering Wednesday night will
keep any precip activity south of the CWA.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 349 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

ECM/GFS/CMC are in general agreement impulses ejecting out of
the swrn  conus along with surge of low level moisture return/bndry
lyr theta-E advection will increase precip chances through most of
next weekend. Chance POPs already in place look reasonable for
now...so no major changes planned.

Otherwise...near below normal max temps expected through the
extended periods.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS for KOFK...KLNK and KOMA.)
Issued at 621 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

A warm and humid airmass will will remain over the area today and
this will likely lead to additional isolated showers and
thunderstorms this afternoon/evening. Will not included any
mention in the TAFs currently due to the isolated nature, but
would be most likely at KLNK/KOMA. We will see also see a
scattered to broken VFR CU field through the period as well.

&&

.OAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...Boustead



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