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Flood Statement
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

000
WGUS83 KMKX 192114
FLSMKX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
414 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
WISCONSIN...

  ROCK RIVER  AFTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY

&&
WIC105-190000-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-130519T2111Z/
/AFTW3.2.ER.130408T1315Z.130419T0315Z.130519T2111Z.UU/
414 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR
  THE ROCK RIVER AT AFTON.
* AT  2:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 8.8 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS ABOUT A 50 PERCENT CHANCE
  FLOOD MEANING THAT THERE IS A 50 PERCENT CHANCE IN ANY GIVEN YEAR
  OF THE RIVER REACHING THIS LEVEL.  FLOODWATERS SPREAD INTO LOWLAND
  AND AGRICULTURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER.

$$

&&

RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING
LOCATIONS. THE 7 DAY RIVER FORECAST TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PAST
PRECIPITATION...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS ETC..AND PREDICTED
FUTURE 24 HOUR BASIN-AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.

(STAGES IN FT.)        BANK-      LATEST         FORECAST STAGES
-               FLOOD  FULL      OBSERVED        ...FOR 7 AM...
LOCATION       STAGE  STAGE    STAGE/TIME       MON  TUE  WED  THU
AFTON            9.0   8.0   8.85 03 PM 05/19   8.7  8.6  8.5  8.3

-                   HIGHEST      24 HOUR CHANGE
-                   OBSERVED     IN RIVER STAGE
-                   STAGE IN      (FT.) UP TO      HIGHEST STAGE
-                   THE LAST    LATEST OBSERVED     FORECAST IN
-                   7 DAYS          STAGE           NEXT 7 DAYS
AFTON            9.42  05 PM 05/12   -0.15       8.83 07 PM 05/19

...BELOW IS PREDICTED 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION INFORMATION...

(AFTW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
AFTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.00
AFTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.00
AFTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.14
AFTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.11