Flood Statement
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
WGUS82 KTBW 311518
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1118 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
  Withlacoochee At Trilby
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs
  Anclote River At Elfers
  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
  Peace River At Arcadia
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia

.Additional heavy rain is forecast to exacerbate the flooding this
week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-011518-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.150727T1300Z.150901T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1118 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Monday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.2 feet by tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at
  Myakka State Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous
  crest of 7.3 feet on Aug 2 2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7   8.8  Mon 10 AM   9.1    9.2    9.0    8.7    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC049-011518-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-150905T0600Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.150830T0548Z.150901T0000Z.150905T0000Z.NO/
1118 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* Until late Friday night.
* At 10 AM Monday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.7 feet by this evening.
  The river is then expected to fall below flood stage Friday evening.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous
  crest of 17.6 feet on Oct 11 2011.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16  17.5  Mon 10 AM  17.6   17.3   17.0   16.3   15.7


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLC027-011518-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.2.ER.150818T0230Z.150902T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1118 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Monday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.5 feet by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 15.5 feet...25 homes at River Acres are impacted.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...River Acres is impacted.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Peace River Campground floods and 6 homes at River
  Acres are impacted.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting several dozen
  homes.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
  the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.6 feet on Sep 9
  2003.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Peace
 Arcadia      11  13.1  Mon 10 AM  14.2   14.5   14.4   14.2   13.9


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186



$$

FLC027-011518-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.150830T1900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1118 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Monday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will fall slowly but remain in a flood.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Royal Park Estates are affected near State Road 72.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Buildings in Hidden Acres flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin
  to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.0 feet on Sep 14
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12  14.9  Mon 10 AM  14.5   14.0   13.4   12.7   12.1


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLC053-101-011517-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TRBF1.1.ER.150815T2245Z.150829T2230Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1118 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee At Trilby
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Monday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.8 feet by this afternoon.
* Impact...at 14.2 feet...River road east of the river is flooded. One campsite
  at the park is flooded. Peterson Park is flooded and closed. One home on
  Cercelia road is isolated. The Florida Campland is flooded. Wood River Court
  homes are isolated. And the Withlacoochee River canoe rental is flooded.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Flooding begins at Lacoochee, Talisman Estates,
  Riverdale, and River Height Estates.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.4 feet on Sep 7
  2012.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Withlacoochee
 Trilby       12  13.7  Mon 10 AM  13.7   13.6   13.3   13.0   12.7


&&


LAT...LON 2838 8219 2854 8226 2854 8217 2838 8210




$$

FLC101-011517-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.150728T0530Z.150904T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1118 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Monday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.8 feet by Thursday evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road
  54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8 feet on Sep 30
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Cypress Creek
 Worthington   8   9.5  Mon 10 AM  10.0   10.5   10.7   10.7   10.3


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$

FLC101-011517-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0035.150902T2000Z-150905T0600Z/
/ELFF1.1.ER.150902T2000Z.150904T0000Z.150905T0000Z.NO/
1118 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

...The Flood Warning continues
  for the Anclote River At Elfers
* From Wednesday afternoon through late Friday night.
* At 10 AM Monday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage Wednesday afternoon and
  continue to rise to near 20.5 feet by Thursday evening. Then the river
  is expected to fall below flood stage by Friday evening.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous
  crest of 21.6 feet on Mar 14 2010.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Anclote River
 Elfers       20  14.9  Mon 10 AM  16.9   19.5   20.3   20.3   19.2


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263



$$




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